Ole Miss Rebels vs Michigan State Spartans NCAAB Betting Prediction

Ole Miss Rebels vs Michigan State Prediction 3/28/2025

The Ole Miss Rebels (24-17) travel to face off against the Michigan State Spartans (31-10) on Friday, March 28th. This game will be played at State Farm Arena in Atlanta and televised on CBS. Both Ole Miss and Michigan State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:09 ET.

Ole Miss Rebels vs Michigan State Spartans

The Rebels Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Ole Miss Rebels Recent Game/Games

The Rebels dropped to 24-17 on the season after a 62-57 road loss to Auburn on Friday, March 14th. Ole Miss entered the game as +13 point underdogs but managed to keep it closer than expected.

After trailing 29-22 at halftime, the Rebels outscored Auburn 35-33 in the 2nd half. The game’s total points of 119 fell well short of the O/U line of 158.

The Spartans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan State’s season record now stands at 31-10 after a 77-74 loss to Wisconsin on Saturday, March 15th. The Spartans were -2.5 favorites going into the game but couldn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 151, surpassing the over/under line of 145.5.

At home, Michigan State trailed 37-33 at halftime. They scored 41 points in the 2nd half but allowed 40, leading to the narrow defeat.

Rebels Offense Breakdown

Ole Miss managed just 57 points in their last game, shooting 37.7% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 41.5%. Their struggles from beyond the arc were evident, as they hit only 4 of 23 attempts, shooting 17.4% from three-point range. They connected on 53.3% of their two-point shots and went 13 for 17 from the free-throw line, good for 76.5%.

The Rebels recorded just 6 assists and 7 offensive rebounds in the game. Johni Broome led the way with 23 points and 15 rebounds, shooting 57.1% from the field. Denver Jones and Dre Davis both shot 62.5%, with Jones hitting 2 of 5 from three and Davis adding 6 rebounds and 2 assists.

Spartans Offense Breakdown

In their last game, the Spartans put up 74 points, shooting 40.7% from the field and 36.8% from three-point range. They hit 19 of 24 free throws, good for 79.2%, and had an effective field goal percentage of 47.5%.

John Tonje led the way with 32 points, hitting 4 threes, while Jase Richardson added 21 points, shooting 80% from deep. Jeremy Fears Jr. contributed 14 points and 6 assists.

Rebels Team Defense

Ole Miss gave up 62 points while allowing the opposing team to shoot 45% from the field. Inside the arc, they allowed 17 two-point baskets on 30 attempts, which is 56% shooting.

From three-point range, the opposition went 6/21, hitting 28% of their shots. Ole Miss also sent them to the free-throw line 15 times, where they made 10, shooting 66%. The Rebels gave up 10 offensive rebounds.

Spartans Team Defense

Even though Ole Miss gave up 62 points, they allowed their opponent to shoot 45% from the field, with 17 of those baskets coming from two-point range, where the opponent shot 56%.

From beyond the arc, Ole Miss held their opponent to 28% shooting, as they made 6 of 21 three-point attempts. The opponent also went 10/15 from the free-throw line, shooting 66%. Ole Miss allowed 10 offensive rebounds in the game.

Rebels vs Spartans Trends

  • In their last three road games, Ole Miss has averaged 73 points per game while allowing 76. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
  • Across the Spartans last ten home games, the team averaged 74 points per game while allowing 67. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 8-2, while going 8-2 straight-up.
  • Ole Miss has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.
  • The Spartans have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.

Rebels vs Spartans Prediction

The Spartans is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 79-68. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Spartans at -3.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 144, and our model projects the Rebels and Spartans to reach a combined total of 147 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.