Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAB Betting Prediction

Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Prediction 1/18/2025

The Ole Miss Rebels (15-2) travel to face off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (14-3) on Saturday, January 18th. This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville and televised on ESPN2. Ole Miss is coming off a win in their previous game, while Mississippi State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Auburn. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.

Ole Miss Rebels vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

The Rebels Are Coming Off A Win

Ole Miss Rebels Recent Game/Games

The Rebels improved to 15-2 on the season with a 74-64 road win over Alabama on Tuesday. Entering the game as +12 point underdogs, Ole Miss not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread.

After trailing 36-32 at halftime, the Rebels turned things around by outscoring Alabama 42-28 in the second half. The game’s total points of 138 fell short of the 162.5 O/U line.

The Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

Mississippi State Bulldogs Recent Game/Games

The Bulldogs fell to 14-3 on the season after an 88-66 loss to Auburn on Tuesday. Mississippi State went into the game as +7.5 point underdogs and didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 154, going over the pre-game line of 150.5.

Mississippi State struggled early, trailing 46-27 at halftime. They scored 39 points in the second half but couldn’t slow down Auburn, who put up 42 points after the break.

Rebels Offense Breakdown

Ole Miss put up 74 points in their last game, shooting 38.6% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 42.9%. They hit 6 of 21 from three-point range (28.6%) and were strong at the free-throw line, connecting on 14 of 16 attempts (87.5%).

Malik Dia led the way with 23 points and 19 rebounds, shooting 52.4% from the field. Aden Holloway added 15 points, hitting 5 of 6 shots overall and 1 of 2 from beyond the arc.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

In their last game, Mississippi State struggled offensively, shooting just 34.9% from the field and 12.5% from three-point range, hitting only 3 of 24 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 38.1%, but they managed to grab 20 offensive rebounds and hit 19 of 27 free throws (70.4%).

Chad Baker-Mazara led the way, hitting 3 of 5 threes and shooting 72.7% overall. Chaney Johnson also had a strong performance, shooting 70% from the field. Josh Hubbard had a rough night, hitting just 2 of 10 threes and shooting 16.7% overall.

Rebels Team Defense

Ole Miss held their opponent to 64 points, with a defensive effort that saw them allow 42% shooting from the field. The Rebels gave up 15 two-point baskets on 27 attempts, a 55% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, Ole Miss limited their opponent to 5 three-pointers on 20 attempts, a 25% success rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 26 times, where they converted 19 free throws (73%).

Bulldogs Team Defense

Ole Miss held their opponent to 64 points, allowing them to shoot 42% from the field. The Rebels gave up 15 two-point baskets on 27 attempts, a 55% conversion rate.

From beyond the arc, Ole Miss limited their opponent to 5 three-pointers on 20 attempts, a 25% success rate. They also sent them to the free-throw line 26 times, where they hit 19 free throws, shooting 73%. The Rebels allowed just 4 offensive rebounds.

Rebels vs Bulldogs Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Ole Miss has an ATS mark of 6-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 5-5 while averaging 75 points per game.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Mississippi State has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 73 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
  • The Rebels have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Bulldogs have a strong straight up record of 2-1. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Rebels vs Bulldogs Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Bulldogs to win, and have the projected score sitting at 78-70. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Bulldogs at -5.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 145.5 and given that our model is projecting 148 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.