Oregon Ducks vs San Diego State Aztecs NCAAB Betting Prediction

Oregon Ducks vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction 11/27/2024

The Oregon Ducks (6-0) travel to face off against the San Diego State Aztecs (2-1) on Wednesday, November 27th. This game will be played at MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas and televised on MAX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 4:00 ET.

Oregon Ducks vs San Diego State Aztecs

The Ducks Are Coming Off A Win

Oregon picked up a solid 80-70 road win over Texas A&M on Tuesday. The Ducks entered the game as +4 underdogs but not only got the win, they also covered the spread. The total points for the game reached 150, just over the pre-game O/U line of 147.

After trailing 32-29 at halftime, Oregon turned things around in the 2nd half, scoring 51 points while holding the Aggies to 38. This strong 2nd half performance was key to their victory.

The Aztecs Are Coming Off A Win

San Diego State continued their strong start to the season with a 71-53 road win over Creighton on Tuesday. The Aztecs entered the game as +4.5 point underdogs but not only pulled off the upset, they also covered the spread.

San Diego State led 32-28 at halftime and clamped down defensively in the 2nd half, holding Creighton to just 25 points while scoring 39 of their own. The game’s total points of 124 fell well under the 138.5-point line.

Ducks Offense Breakdown

Oregon put up 80 points in their last game, shooting 45.5% from the field and 28% from three-point range, hitting 7 of 25 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 50.9%, thanks in part to their 60% shooting on two-pointers (18/30). The Ducks also connected on 74.2% of their free throws, going 23 for 31.

Zhuric Phelps led the way with 20 points, hitting 4 of 9 from beyond the arc. Brandon Angel and Jackson Shelstad each added 16 points, with Angel shooting 5 of 6 overall and 2 of 3 from three. Oregon finished with 15 assists and 11 offensive rebounds in the win.

Aztecs Offense Breakdown

San Diego State put up 71 points in their last game, shooting 48.4% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 54.8%. They hit 47.1% of their threes, going 8-for-17 from beyond the arc, while struggling at the free-throw line, making just 3 of 7 attempts (42.9%).

BJ Davis and Pop Isaacs each scored 18 points, with Davis shooting 63.6% overall and 60% from three. Isaacs, meanwhile, shot just 35% from the field and 20% from deep, but added 5 assists. Miles Byrd contributed 16 points, hitting 60% of his shots and 50% from three.

Ducks Team Defense

Oregon’s defense held strong, giving up 70 points while limiting their opponent to 32% shooting from the field. The Ducks were especially effective inside, where they held their opponent to just 33% shooting on two-point attempts (11/33).

From beyond the arc, Oregon’s opponent shot 31%, hitting 11 of 35 three-pointers. The Ducks sent them to the free-throw line 20 times, where they converted 15 of those attempts for 75%. Oregon also allowed 21 offensive rebounds.

Aztecs Team Defense

Despite giving up 21 offensive rebounds, Oregon’s defense held strong, allowing just 70 points on 32% shooting. They limited their opponent to 33% from two-point range, with only 11 makes on 33 attempts.

From beyond the arc, Oregon gave up 11 threes on 35 attempts, a 31% shooting performance. They also sent their opponent to the line 20 times, where they converted 15 free throws, shooting 75%.

Ducks vs Aztecs Trends

  • Across their last five road contests, Oregon has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 78 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Aztecs have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 69 points per game in these contests.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Aztecs have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Ducks have a straight up record of 9-1. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.

Ducks vs Aztecs Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +2.5, we recommend going with the Aztecs on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 138, and our model projects the Ducks and Aztecs to reach a combined total of 146 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.