Penn State Nittany Lions vs Wisconsin Badgers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Wisconsin Prediction 3/8/2025

The Penn State Nittany Lions (15-15) travel to face off against the Wisconsin Badgers (23-7) on Saturday, March 8th. This game will be played at Kohl Center in Madison and televised on PEAC. Wisconsin is coming off a win in their previous game, while Penn State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Maryland. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Wisconsin Badgers

The Nittany Lions Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Penn State fell to 15-15 on the season after a 68-64 home loss to Maryland on Saturday. The Nittany Lions were +4.5 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 132, well under the 155.5 O/U line.

Penn State led 36-30 at halftime but allowed 38 points in the 2nd half while scoring just 28 points themselves, leading to the loss.

The Badgers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Wisconsin improved to 23-7 on the season with a 74-67 road win over Minnesota on Wednesday. The Badgers entered the game as -6.5 favorites and covered the spread with the victory.

Wisconsin led 33-27 at halftime and scored 41 points in the 2nd half while allowing 40. The total points for the game were 141, just under the 141.5 O/U line.

Nittany Lions Offense Breakdown

In their last game, Penn State’s offense put up 64 points, shooting 40.4% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 45.6%. They connected on 31.6% of their three-point attempts, hitting 6 of 19 from deep, and made 75% of their free throws, going 12 for 16 at the line.

Derik Queen led the way with 23 points and 6 rebounds, shooting 50% from the field. Ja’Kobi Gillespie added 19 points, 7 assists, and hit 3 of 5 from beyond the arc, shooting 75% overall. The Nittany Lions grabbed 8 offensive rebounds and finished with 12 assists as a team.

Badgers Offense Breakdown

Wisconsin put up 74 points in their last game, shooting 43.6% from the field. They struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 5 of 22 attempts for 22.7%, but connected on 57.6% of their two-point shots. At the free-throw line, they were 21 of 24, good for 87.5%.

John Blackwell led the way with 25 points and 11 rebounds, despite shooting 38.1% overall and 22.2% from three. John Tonje and Brennan Rigsby each added 18 points, with both hitting 2 of 3 from deep.

Nittany Lions Team Defense

Despite Penn State’s defensive efforts, they allowed 68 points on 40% shooting from the field. The opposing team made 23 of their 57 field goal attempts.

From beyond the arc, Penn State’s defense held the other team to 6 threes on 19 attempts, a 31% shooting rate. The opponents also shot 75% from the free-throw line, making 12 of 16 attempts.

Badgers Team Defense

Even with a solid defensive effort, Penn State couldn’t hold their opponent under 68 points, as they shot 40% from the field, hitting 23 of 57 attempts. Inside the arc, the Nittany Lions gave up 17 two-point field goals on 38 attempts, a 44% shooting rate.

From long range, Penn State’s defense allowed 6 three-pointers on 19 attempts, with their opponent shooting 31% from beyond the arc. At the free-throw line, Penn State’s opponent went 12/16, converting 75% of their attempts. The Nittany Lions also gave up 8 offensive rebounds.

Nittany Lions vs Badgers Trends

  • Penn State has a 1-2 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 71 points per game while allowing 78. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Wisconsin has an ATS mark of 8-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 7-3 while averaging 77 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Nittany Lions have gone 8-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-8.
  • As the betting favorite, the Badgers have an ATS mark of just 8-2 in their last ten games. Wisconsin posted a straight up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.

Nittany Lions vs Badgers Prediction

In this Badgers vs. Badgers matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Badgers at -12.5. While we project the Badgers to win 76-70, our recommendation is to bet on the Nittany Lions for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 155.5, and our model projects the Nittany Lions and Badgers to reach a combined total of 146 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.