Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan State Spartans NCAAB Betting Prediction

Penn State Nittany vs Michigan State Prediction 1/15/2025

The Penn State Nittany Lions (12-5) travel to face off against the Michigan State Spartans (14-2) on Wednesday, January 15th. This game will be played at Breslin Center in East Lansing and televised on BTN. Michigan State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Penn State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Oregon. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Penn State Nittany Lions vs Michigan State Spartans

The Nittany Lions Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Penn State’s season record dropped to 12-5 after a narrow 82-81 home loss to Oregon on Sunday. The Nittany Lions, who were +2.5 point underdogs, kept it close and covered the spread. The game’s total points of 163 went over the pre-game O/U line of 155.5.

Penn State trailed 41-34 at halftime but made a strong push in the 2nd half, outscoring Oregon 47-41. Despite their efforts, they couldn’t complete the comeback.

The Spartans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan State improved to 14-2 on the season with a 78-68 road win over Northwestern on Sunday. The Spartans entered the game as 2-point favorites and covered the spread, while the total points of 146 went over the pre-game line of 138.5.

Michigan State took control early, leading 47-28 at halftime, but allowed Northwestern to score 40 points in the 2nd half while putting up 31 points of their own.

Nittany Lions Offense Breakdown

Penn State put up 81 points in their latest game, shooting 45.6% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 50%. They connected on 36.8% of their three-point attempts, hitting 7 of 19 from deep, and were strong from the free-throw line, going 12 for 14 (85.7%). The Nittany Lions also pulled down 13 offensive rebounds and dished out 13 assists.

Freddie Dilione led the way with 21 points, hitting 4 of 6 from beyond the arc. Nick Kern added 19 points and 8 rebounds, while Jackson Shelstad contributed 17 points and 8 assists, shooting 70% from the field and 60% from three-point range.

Spartans Offense Breakdown

Michigan State put up 78 points in their last game, shooting 50% from the field and connecting on 4 of 8 three-point attempts, also at a 50% rate. They were solid from the free-throw line, hitting 20 of 27 for 74.1%. The Spartans dished out 18 assists, with Jeremy Fears Jr. contributing 8 of those.

Nick Martinelli led the way with 27 points, shooting 44.4% from the field and 33.3% from beyond the arc. Jalen Leach added 17 points and 5 rebounds, while Jaden Akins chipped in 14 points, hitting 66.7% of his threes.

Nittany Lions Team Defense

Despite Penn State’s defensive efforts, they allowed 82 points on 45% shooting from the field. The opposing team hit 31 of their 68 shots, including 24 of 49 from inside the arc, where they connected at a 49% rate.

From three-point range, the opposition went 7/19, shooting 36%. They also made the most of their trips to the free-throw line, hitting 12 of 14 attempts for 85%. Penn State gave up 13 offensive rebounds in the game.

Spartans Team Defense

Despite Penn State’s defensive efforts, they gave up 82 points on 45% shooting from the field. The Nittany Lions allowed their opponent to connect on 24 of 49 two-point attempts, a 49% success rate.

From beyond the arc, Penn State’s defense saw their opponent hit 7 of 19 threes, shooting 36%. They also sent them to the line 14 times, where they made 12 free throws, an 85% clip. Penn State allowed 13 offensive rebounds in the game.

Nittany Lions vs Spartans Trends

  • Through their last three road games, Penn State has an ATS record of just 0-3. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 67 points per game.
  • Across their last three home contests, Michigan State has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 79 points per game.
  • The last three games that Penn State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • As the betting favorite, the Spartans have an ATS record of 4-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 5-0.

Nittany Lions vs Spartans Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Spartans vs. Nittany Lions matchup, our bet is to grab the Nittany Lions at +10.5. Even though our projections have the Spartans winning 76-70, we see the Nittany Lions as the play on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 155.5 and our model has the Nittany Lions and Spartans finishing with a combined 146 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.