The Purdue Boilermakers (19-7) travel to face off against the Michigan State Spartans (20-5) on Tuesday, February 18th. This game will be played at Breslin Center in East Lansing and televised on PEAC. Michigan State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Purdue is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Wisconsin. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.
Purdue Boilermakers vs Michigan State Spartans
The Boilermakers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Purdue’s season record dropped to 19-7 after a 94-84 home loss to Wisconsin on Saturday. The Boilermakers, who were -5.5 favorites, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 178, surpassing the O/U line of 151.5.
Purdue held a narrow 37-36 lead at halftime but struggled defensively in the 2nd half, allowing 58 points while scoring 47.
The Spartans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Michigan State improved to 20-5 on the season with a 79-65 win over Illinois on Saturday. The Spartans were +6.5 point underdogs going into the game and covered the spread with the win.
After trailing 41-37 at halftime, Michigan State’s defense stepped up, allowing just 24 points in the 2nd half while scoring 42 points of their own. The combined points for the game were 144, falling short of the O/U line of 158.5.
Boilermakers Offense Breakdown
Purdue’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their latest game, putting up 84 points with a field goal percentage of 51.8%. They were particularly effective from beyond the arc, hitting 45.5% of their threes, contributing to an effective field goal percentage of 60.7%. The Boilermakers also connected on 76.2% of their free throws, going 16-for-21 from the line.
John Tonje and Trey Kaufman-Renn led the way, with Tonje scoring 32 points on 10-of-15 shooting, including 4-of-9 from three. Kaufman-Renn added 30 points, shooting 12-of-16 from the field. Purdue dished out 21 assists, with Max Klesmit contributing 6 assists to go along with his 17 points.
Spartans Offense Breakdown
Michigan State put up 79 points in their last game, shooting 48.5% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 52.9%. They connected on 41.7% of their three-point attempts, going 5-for-12 from beyond the arc, and hit 50% of their two-point shots, finishing 28-for-56 inside the arc.
Jaxon Kohler led the way with 23 points and 10 rebounds, hitting 4-of-5 from three-point range and shooting 69.2% overall. Morez Johnson Jr. and Kasparas Jakucionis each added 17 points, with Jakucionis struggling from deep, making just 2-of-9 three-point attempts.
Boilermakers Team Defense
Purdue’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 94 points while allowing their opponent to shoot 51% from the field. Inside the arc, they allowed 19 two-point baskets on 34 attempts, a 55% shooting rate.
From three-point range, Purdue’s opponent hit 10 of 22 shots, shooting 45%. They also sent them to the free-throw line 21 times, where they made 16 free throws, a 76% success rate. Purdue limited offensive rebounds, giving up just 4.
Spartans Team Defense
Purdue’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 94 points on 51% shooting from the field. They allowed the opposition to hit 19 of 34 two-point attempts, a 55% success rate.
From beyond the arc, Purdue’s opponents shot 45%, connecting on 10 of 22 three-point attempts. They also sent the other team to the line 21 times, where they made 16 free throws, shooting 76%. Purdue did limit offensive rebounds, giving up just 4.
Boilermakers vs Spartans Trends
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Purdue has an ATS record of 5-0 while averaging 73 per game. The team went 4-1 overall in these games.
- Michigan State has played well in their previous five home games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 72 points per game while allowing 68. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Boilermakers have gone 2-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
- Looking back on the team’s last three games as the favorite, the Spartans have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
Boilermakers vs Spartans Prediction
Not only do we have the Spartans winning this one by a score of 77-69, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Spartans at -3.5.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 148.5 and given that our model is projecting 146 points between the teams, we like the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:February 18, 2025 Michigan State Spartans, Purdue Boilermakers