San Diego State Aztecs vs California Golden Bears NCAAB Betting Prediction

San Diego State vs California Golden Bears Prediction 12/21/2024

The San Diego State Aztecs (6-2) travel to face off against the California Golden Bears (7-4) on Saturday, December 21st. This game will be played at SAP Center at San Jose in San Jose and televised on ACCN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 10:30 ET.

San Diego State Aztecs vs California Golden Bears

The Aztecs Are Coming Off A Win

San Diego State improved to 6-2 on the season with an 81-75 win over California Baptist on Wednesday. The Aztecs, playing at home, were favored by 13.5 points but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 156, surpassing the over/under line of 136.5.

San Diego State led 40-33 at halftime and scored 41 points in the second half, while allowing 42 points to the Lancers after the break.

The Golden Bears Are Coming Off A Win

California improved to 7-4 on the season with an 84-66 win over Northwestern State on Saturday. The Golden Bears, who were -16 point favorites, covered the spread in the home victory.

Cal led 36-33 at halftime before pulling away in the 2nd half, outscoring the Demons 48-33. The total points for the game reached 150, going over the pre-game O/U line of 144.

Aztecs Offense Breakdown

San Diego State’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 81 points and shooting 54.9% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 62.7%. They hit 52.9% from beyond the arc, connecting on 9 of 17 attempts, and were solid at the free-throw line, making 16 of 20 for 80%.

Dominique Daniels Jr. led the way with 22 points and 6 assists, despite shooting just 38.1% from the field and 27.3% from three. Miles Byrd contributed 19 points, hitting 4 of 6 from deep, while Nick Boyd added 16 points and 8 assists, shooting 66.7% from three-point range.

Golden Bears Offense Breakdown

California’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 84 points on 52.8% shooting from the field. They were particularly effective from beyond the arc, hitting 48% of their threes (12/25) and posting an effective field goal percentage of 64.2%.

Andrej Stojakovic led the way with 31 points, shooting 71.4% overall and 66.7% from three. Landyn Jumawan also impressed, hitting 4 of 7 threes and finishing with 15 points. The Golden Bears connected on 76.2% of their free throws and grabbed 11 offensive rebounds.

Aztecs Team Defense

San Diego State’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 75 points while allowing the opposing team to shoot 54% from the field. The Aztecs couldn’t contain the two-point shooting, with their opponents hitting 19 of 34 shots for 55%.

From beyond the arc, San Diego State allowed 9 threes on 17 attempts, a 52% clip. They also sent their opponents to the line 20 times, where they converted 16 free throws at an 80% rate. The Aztecs gave up 7 offensive rebounds in the game.

Golden Bears Team Defense

San Diego State’s defense struggled, giving up 75 points on 54% shooting from the field. They allowed 19 two-point field goals on 34 attempts, a 55% success rate for their opponent.

From beyond the arc, the Aztecs gave up 9 threes on 17 attempts, with their opponent shooting 52%. They also sent them to the line 20 times, where they hit 16 free throws, an 80% clip.

Aztecs vs Golden Bears Trends

  • The Aztecs are 3-0 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • California has a 1-4 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 74 points per game while allowing 85. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Golden Bears have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 3-7.
  • In their last three contests as the favorite, San Diego State has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-0.

Aztecs vs Golden Bears Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +5, we have the Golden Bears as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 147 and our model has the Aztecs and Golden Bears finishing with a combined 146 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.