South Carolina Gamecocks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs NCAAB Betting Prediction

South Carolina vs Mississippi State Prediction 1/4/2025

The South Carolina Gamecocks (10-3) travel to face off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-1) on Saturday, January 4th. This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville and televised on SECN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

South Carolina Gamecocks vs Mississippi State Bulldogs

The Gamecocks Are Coming Off A Win

South Carolina improved to 10-3 on the season with a 69-59 win over Presbyterian on Monday. The Gamecocks were -18.5 favorites at home but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 128 fell short of the 138.5 O/U line.

After trailing 32-24 at halftime, South Carolina turned things around in the 2nd half, scoring 45 points while holding Presbyterian to 27.

The Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

Mississippi State Bulldogs Recent Game/Games

Mississippi State improved to 12-1 on the season with an 87-73 win over Bethune-Cookman on Monday. The Bulldogs were heavy favorites at -28.5, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game hit 160, surpassing the O/U line of 145.5.

After leading 52-45 at halftime, Mississippi State locked down defensively, holding the Wildcats to 28 points in the 2nd half while scoring 35 themselves.

Gamecocks Offense Breakdown

South Carolina put up 69 points in their last game, shooting 45.8% from the field and 38.5% from three-point range. They connected on 20 of 30 free throws, hitting 66.7% from the line. The Gamecocks also grabbed 14 offensive rebounds and dished out 15 assists.

Kory Mincy led the way with 27 points, shooting 58.8% overall and 60% from deep. Collin Murray-Boyles added 22 points and 9 rebounds, shooting 60% from the field. Nick Pringle was efficient, hitting 5 of 6 shots for 14 points.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

Mississippi State put up 87 points in their last game, shooting 50.8% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 57.4%, with a strong 63.9% on two-point attempts, though they hit just 32% from beyond the arc.

Riley Kugel led the way with 22 points, shooting 76.9% overall and 50% from three. Trey Thomas and Brayon Freeman each added 21 points, with Freeman playing 39 minutes. Reggie Ward Jr. contributed 14 points and 14 rebounds, shooting 60% from the field.

Gamecocks Team Defense

South Carolina’s defense gave up 59 points, with the opposing team shooting 45% from the field, hitting 22 of 48 shots. Inside the arc, they connected on 17 of 35 attempts, good for 48% shooting.

From three-point range, the opposition went 5 for 13, shooting 38%. At the free-throw line, they made 20 of 30 attempts, shooting 66%. South Carolina also allowed 14 offensive rebounds.

Bulldogs Team Defense

South Carolina’s defense gave up 59 points while allowing the opponent to shoot 45% from the field. They allowed 17 two-point field goals on 35 attempts, a 48% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, the Gamecocks allowed 5 threes on 13 attempts, with the opponent shooting 38%. South Carolina also sent the opponent to the free-throw line 30 times, where they hit 20 free throws, shooting 66%. The Gamecocks gave up 14 offensive rebounds.

Gamecocks vs Bulldogs Trends

  • Across the Gamecocks last ten road games, the team averaged 70 points per game while allowing 72. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-3, while going 7-3 straight-up.
  • Mississippi State has played well in their previous three home games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 75 points per game while allowing 62. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • The last ten games that South Carolina was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 4-6 straight up.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Bulldogs have an ATS record of 2-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Gamecocks vs Bulldogs Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Bulldogs vs. Bulldogs game, our recommendation is to take the Bulldogs at -10.5. Despite our model showing the Bulldogs winning 77-71, we like Gamecocks as our point-spread pick.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 143.5 and our model has the Gamecocks and Bulldogs finishing with a combined 148 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.