Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns NCAAB Betting Prediction

Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns Prediction 1/11/2025

The Tennessee Volunteers (14-1) travel to face off against the Texas Longhorns (11-4) on Saturday, January 11th. This game will be played at Moody Center in Austin and televised on ESPN. Both Tennessee and Texas will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 ET.

Tennessee Volunteers vs Texas Longhorns

The Volunteers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Tennessee’s perfect season came to an abrupt halt on Tuesday, as the Volunteers fell to 14-1 after a 73-43 loss to Florida. Entering the game as +3 point underdogs, Tennessee not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 116 fell well short of the 152.5 O/U line.

After trailing 34-15 at halftime, Tennessee managed just 28 points in the 2nd half while allowing 39. The Volunteers will need to regroup after this tough road loss.

The Longhorns Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Texas fell to 11-4 on the season after an 87-82 home loss to Auburn on Tuesday. The Longhorns were +10.5 point underdogs going into the game but managed to cover the spread.

After trailing 39-27 at halftime, Texas scored 55 points in the second half but couldn’t complete the comeback, allowing 48 points to Auburn after the break. The game’s total points of 169 went over the pre-game line of 149.5.

Volunteers Offense Breakdown

Tennessee’s offense struggled mightily in their last game, scoring just 43 points on 21.4% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was a mere 25%, and they hit only 4 of 29 attempts from beyond the arc, shooting 13.8% from deep.

At the free-throw line, the Volunteers connected on 15 of 25 attempts, shooting 60%. They managed 13 offensive rebounds and recorded just 6 assists as a team. Alijah Martin led the way with 18 points, while Denzel Aberdeen added 16 points in 20 minutes of action.

Longhorns Offense Breakdown

Arthur Kaluma’s 34-point performance, shooting 75% from the field and 83.3% from three, led the Longhorns to an 82-point outing. Miles Kelly added 18 points, hitting 4 of 6 from deep.

Texas shot 46.4% overall, with a 35.7% mark from three, and hit 83.3% of their free throws. They had just 6 assists, with Johni Broome contributing 5 of them, along with 12 rebounds and 20 points.

Volunteers Team Defense

Even though Tennessee allowed 73 points, they held their opponent to just 39% shooting from the field. The Volunteers gave up 21 two-point baskets on 48 attempts, a 43% conversion rate.

From beyond the arc, Tennessee’s defense limited their opponent to 6 made threes on 20 attempts, a 30% success rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 17 times, where they hit 13 free throws, shooting 76%. Tennessee allowed 19 offensive rebounds.

Longhorns Team Defense

Despite Tennessee’s defensive efforts, they gave up 73 points in their last game. The Volunteers held their opponent to 39% shooting overall, with 27 made field goals on 68 attempts.

From beyond the arc, Tennessee’s opponent shot 30%, hitting 6 of 20 three-pointers. The Volunteers also sent them to the free-throw line 17 times, where they converted 13 attempts for 76%.

Volunteers vs Longhorns Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Volunteers have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 1-1-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 62 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last five home games, Texas has averaged 63 points per game while allowing 65. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Longhorns have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Volunteers have a straight up record of 10-0. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-3-1.

Volunteers vs Longhorns Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +6.5, we recommend going with the Longhorns on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 135.5, and our model projects the Volunteers and Longhorns to reach a combined total of 146 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.