USC Trojans vs Purdue Boilermakers NCAAB Betting Prediction

USC Trojans vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction 3/13/2025

The USC Trojans (16-16) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (21-10) on Thursday, March 13th. This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and televised on BTN. USC is coming off a win in their previous game, while Purdue is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Illinois. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

USC Trojans vs Purdue Boilermakers

The Trojans Are Coming Off A Win

USC Trojans Recent Game/Games

USC evened their season record at 16-16 with a 97-89 road win over Rutgers on Wednesday. Favored by 1 point, the Trojans covered the spread, and the game’s total points of 186 exceeded the O/U line of 152.

USC led 41-30 at halftime but allowed 43 points in the 2nd half while scoring 32. Despite the defensive lapse, they held on for the win.

The Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

Purdue’s season record dropped to 21-10 after an 88-80 loss to Illinois on Friday. The Boilermakers were +4.5 point underdogs going into the game and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game hit 168, surpassing the O/U line of 159.5.

Purdue led 42-40 at halftime but allowed 48 points in the 2nd half while scoring 38. Defensive struggles in the 2nd half were a key factor in the loss.

Trojans Offense Breakdown

USC’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 97 points while shooting 51.7% from the field. They connected on 43.5% of their threes, hitting 10 of 23 attempts, and were solid from the line, making 80.6% of their free throws. Their effective field goal percentage was 60%, and they grabbed 10 offensive rebounds, dishing out 19 assists as a team.

Desmond Claude led the way with 28 points and 8 assists, shooting 61.5% from the field. Dylan Harper added 27 points and 8 assists, though he struggled from deep, hitting just 1 of 8 threes. Wesley Yates III was perfect from beyond the arc, knocking down all 4 of his attempts and finishing with 24 points.

Boilermakers Offense Breakdown

Purdue’s offense was efficient in their last game, shooting 50.8% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 54%. They hit 60% of their two-point attempts, though they struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 5 of 18 threes for 27.8%. At the free-throw line, they were solid, making 11 of 13 attempts for 84.6%.

Trey Kaufman-Renn led the way with 29 points on 13 of 23 shooting, while Will Riley added 22 points, hitting 2 of 4 from deep. Tre White also contributed 20 points, making 3 of 5 threes and shooting 77.8% overall. Braden Smith dished out 12 assists to go with 18 points, though he struggled from three, hitting just 2 of 9 attempts.

Trojans Team Defense

USC’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 89 points on 42% shooting. They allowed 57% shooting from two-point range, with their opponents hitting 27 of 47 attempts.

From beyond the arc, USC held their opponents to 20% shooting, as they made just 6 of 30 threes. However, they sent them to the line 22 times, where they converted 17 free throws at a 77% rate. USC also gave up 15 offensive rebounds.

Boilermakers Team Defense

Defensively, USC struggled, giving up 89 points while allowing their opponents to shoot 42% from the field. The Trojans had a tough time inside, as the other team hit 57% of their two-point attempts, going 27/47.

From beyond the arc, USC held their opponents to 20% shooting, with just 6 made threes on 30 attempts. However, they sent them to the free-throw line 22 times, where they converted 17 for 77%. USC also gave up 15 offensive rebounds.

Trojans vs Boilermakers Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Trojans offense has averaged 73 points per game while allowing an average of 87. USC posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • In their last five games at home, the Boilermakers have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 73 points per game in this stretch.
  • The last ten games that USC was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 2-8 straight up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Boilermakers have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.

Trojans vs Boilermakers Prediction

The Boilermakers is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 79-68. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Boilermakers at -9.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 150.5 and given that our model is projecting 147 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.