LSU Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide NCAAB Betting Prediction

LSU Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide Prediction 1/25/2025

The LSU Tigers (12-6) travel to face off against the Alabama Crimson Tide (16-3) on Saturday, January 25th. This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa and televised on SECN. Alabama is coming off a win in their previous game, while LSU is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Texas A&M. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

LSU Tigers vs Alabama Crimson Tide

The Tigers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

LSU’s season record dropped to 12-6 after a 68-57 loss to Texas A&M on Saturday. The Tigers were +11.5 point underdogs going into the game but managed to keep it closer than expected.

LSU was tied 30-30 at halftime but struggled in the 2nd half, scoring just 27 points while allowing 38. The game’s total points ended at 125, well under the O/U line of 144.5.

The Crimson Tide Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Alabama improved to 16-3 on the season with a 103-87 home win over Vanderbilt on Tuesday. The Crimson Tide entered the game as -12 favorites and covered the spread, while the teams combined for 190 points, surpassing the over/under line of 168.5.

Alabama led 48-31 at halftime and put up 55 points in the second half, but allowed 56 points to Vanderbilt after the break.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

LSU struggled offensively in their last game, managing just 57 points on 36.2% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 42.6%, with a particularly rough night from beyond the arc, hitting only 24.1% (7/29) of their three-point attempts. They were more efficient inside, connecting on 55.6% of their two-point shots.

At the free-throw line, the Tigers were solid, converting 88.9% (16/18) of their attempts. Cam Carter led the way with 16 points, shooting 50% (3/6) from deep, while Zhuric Phelps added 13 points and 6 assists. Wade Taylor and Jordan Sears both struggled, with Sears hitting just 1 of 7 from three-point range.

Crimson Tide Offense Breakdown

Alabama’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 103 points with a 56.2% field goal percentage. Their effective field goal percentage was 62.5%, thanks in part to their 66.7% shooting from two-point range. From beyond the arc, they hit 8 of 22 attempts, shooting 36.4% from three.

Mouhamed Dioubate and Aden Holloway each scored 22 points, with Dioubate shooting 8 of 9 from the field and Holloway hitting 4 of 6 from three-point range. Mark Sears and Jason Edwards both added 21 points, with Edwards hitting 2 of 4 from deep. Tyler Nickel contributed 19 points, knocking down 5 of 9 threes.

Tigers Team Defense

LSU’s defense gave up 68 points in their last game, allowing the opponent to shoot 42% from the field. The Tigers conceded 19 two-point baskets on 39 attempts, a 48% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, the opposition made 7 of 22 threes, shooting 31%. LSU also sent them to the line 21 times, where they hit 9 free throws, shooting 42%. The Tigers allowed 14 offensive rebounds.

Crimson Tide Team Defense

LSU’s defense gave up 68 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 42% from the field on 26 of 61 attempts. Inside the arc, they allowed 19 two-point baskets on 39 attempts, a 48% shooting rate.

From three-point range, the opponent hit 7 of 22 shots, good for 31%. LSU also sent them to the free-throw line 21 times, where they made just 9, shooting 42%. The Tigers gave up 14 offensive rebounds.

Tigers vs Crimson Tide Trends

  • Across their five previous road games, LSU has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 65 points per game.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Crimson Tide have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 6-4 vs. the spread. The team averaged 90 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, LSU has an ATS mark of 2-1 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.

Tigers vs Crimson Tide Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Crimson Tide vs. Crimson Tide game, we suggest taking the Crimson Tide at -16.5. Even though our predictions have the Crimson Tide winning 77-71, we see the Tigers as the better choice on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 165.5 and given that our model is projecting 148 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.