The Detroit Tigers (50-52) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (60-40) on Wednesday, July 24th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSDET. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Guardians (-150)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- Guardians have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- Guardians have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
- Guardians have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games against the Tigers.
- Guardians have a better overall home record (32-14) compared to the Tigers’ away record (26-28).
- Guardians have outscored the Tigers 20-19 in their last 5 head-to-head matchups.
Tigers vs Guardians
The most recent game o of this Tigers vs. Guardians series came right down to the end, as the Tigers rallied late but still fell short with the Guardians winning 5-4 at home. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -135 on the money line.
Both offenses scored one run in the first inning, and the Tigers could only muster one more run until they broke out for two in the 7th. As for the Guardians, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th and added two insurance runs in the 6th.
Jose Ramirez and Jhonkensy Noel each homered for the Guardians, while Wenceel Perez hit a home run for the Tigers. Ramirez, Noel, and Steven Kwan each had two hits and two RBIs for Cleveland’s offense.
As the underdog, the Tigers have a 28-32 record this season, and they are 19-23 on the road as underdogs. Detroit’s overall series record this year is 14-13-4, and they have won four straight series. In their last 10 games, the Tigers have a 7-3 record.
Against the run line, Detroit has been profitable on the road with a 31-23 record, and they are 39-21 as underdogs. However, as favorites, they have struggled with a 12-30 run line record. The Tigers’ over/under record for the season is 56-43, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. Heading into today’s game, they are on a 5-game over streak.
Jack Flaherty Gets The Start For The Tigers
Jack Flaherty has been pitching well for the Tigers, coming into the game with a record of 7-5 and an ERA of 3.13. So far, he has made 17 starts, and opponents are batting .209 off the right-hander. Flaherty has turned in 10 quality starts this year and is averaging 11.35 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went 5 2/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and got the win. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 2.88 compared to 2-3 with a 3.52 ERA at home.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. This season, they are averaging 4.4 runs per game at home and 4.3 on the road. As a team, they are batting just .234, which is 19th in the league, and have an on-base percentage of only .299.
Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power threat this season, as his 17 home runs are 1st on the team and 13th in the league. He is also batting .268 for the season and has driven in 51 runs, which is also the best mark on the team. Over his last eight games, Matt Vierling is batting .324, and Justyn-Henry Malloy has two homers and eight RBIs over his last eight games.
As favorites, the Guardians are 44-22 straight up, but against the run line, they are 49-51, including 22-24 at home. Cleveland’s overall over/under record is 49-45, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season. The over has hit in two straight games, and 64% of their games have had higher totals than today’s 7.5-run line.
Cleveland has lost seven of their last ten games and three straight series, but they still hold a five-game lead in the AL Central with a 60-40 record. At home, the Guardians are 32-14, compared to 28-26 on the road. Today, they will face the Tigers, who have a 16-14 division record.
Tanner Bibee Gets The Start For The Guardians
Cleveland is starting right-hander Tanner Bibee today vs. the Tigers. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 8-4 with a 3.58 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.11, and he has turned in seven quality starts. In his last outing, Bibee picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings vs. the Padres and not giving up a run. Before that, he had lost two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a 3.11 ERA compared to 4.74 at home.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 24 home runs are 6th in the league and the best mark on the Guardians. His 82 RBIs are also the 2nd most in the MLB. Ramirez has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/21 in his last five games with a home run and five RBIs. Josh Naylor is also near the top of the MLB home run leaderboard, as his 22 homers are 8th in the league.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been even better at home, where they are 7th in the league at 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 12th in home runs and have the 12th best team batting average in the league.
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction
Our predictions for this game have the Guardians coming out on top by a score of 5-4. Given that they are at -150 on the money line, this is the best way to play this one. The Tigers are offering a payout of +127, but we don’t see them coming out on top in this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jack Flaherty finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for 14th among starters. As for Tanner Bibee, he is projected to finish with seven K’s, which is seventh best among starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 24, 2024 Guardians, Tigers