Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 3/27/2025

The Memphis Grizzlies (44-28) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (60-12) on Thursday, March 27th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on FDSO. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Grizzlies vs Thunder

memphis grizzlies nba

The Grizzlies Are Coming Off A Win

Memphis improved to 44-28 on the season with a dominant 140-103 road win over the Jazz on Tuesday. The Grizzlies entered the game as -11.5 point favorites and covered the spread with ease, winning by 37 points. The total score of 243 points narrowly exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 240.5.

After falling behind 61-45 following a 10-0 run by the Jazz, Memphis responded by outscoring Utah 35-30 in the 2nd quarter. They took control in the 3rd, holding the Jazz to just 17 points while scoring 41. The Grizzlies continued their strong play in the 4th, outscoring Utah 35-21 to close out the game.

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

The Thunder improved to 60-12 this season with a 121-105 win over the Kings on Tuesday. Oklahoma City, favored by -8.5, covered the spread in the win. The game’s total points of 226 fell just short of the 228.5 O/U line.

Oklahoma City took control early, leading 64-42 at halftime. The Kings went on a 16-0 run to close the gap, but the Thunder responded by outscoring Sacramento 32-24 in the 4th quarter to seal the win.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

The Grizzlies put up 140 points in their win over the Jazz, shooting 53.1% from the field and hitting 20 threes at a 44.4% clip. Desmond Bane led the way with 21 points, 12 of which came in the 2nd quarter.

Jaren Jackson added 19 points, scoring 10 in the opening period. Scotty Pippen Jr. contributed 16 points and 10 assists, shooting 87.5% from the field.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

The Thunder’s offense shined in their win over the Kings, putting up 121 points on 52.4% shooting from the field. They were particularly effective from beyond the arc, hitting 19 threes at a 59.4% clip.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 32 points, including 11 in the 3rd quarter. Alex Caruso added 15 points, with 7 coming in the final period, while Isaiah Joe contributed 6 of his 14 points in the 4th quarter.

Grizzlies Team Defense

Despite a slow start, the Grizzlies tightened up defensively in the 2nd half, giving up just 38 points to the Jazz in a 140-103 win. Memphis allowed 35 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 2nd but held Utah to 17 points in the 3rd and 21 in the 4th. Overall, the Jazz shot 43% from the field.

The Grizzlies struggled to defend the three, with Utah hitting 17 threes at a 40% clip. The Jazz also went 18/22 from the free-throw line. Memphis gave up 4 offensive rebounds while recording 7 steals and 4 blocks.

Thunder Team Defense

Despite a shaky start, the Grizzlies tightened up defensively in the 2nd half, allowing just 38 points to the Jazz in the 3rd and 4th quarters. Overall, they gave up 103 points on 43% shooting from the field.

Memphis sent Utah to the line 22 times, where the Jazz made 18 free throws. The Grizzlies also recorded 7 steals and 4 blocks while limiting Utah to just 4 offensive rebounds.

Grizzlies vs Thunder Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Grizzlies offense has averaged 115 points per game while allowing an average of 115. Memphis posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Although Oklahoma City has a straight up record of 10-0 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 8-2. The team averaged 123 points per game in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-7-1.
  • The Thunder have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.

Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +9.5, we have the Grizzlies as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 237.5, and our model predicts the Grizzlies and Thunder to score a combined 255 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.