Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings Prediction 3/17/2025

The Memphis Grizzlies (43-25) travel to face off against the Sacramento Kings (33-33) on Monday, March 17th. This game will be played at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento and televised on NBCS. The Grizzlies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Kings are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Kings. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Grizzlies vs Kings

memphis grizzlies nba

The Grizzlies Are Coming Off A Win

The Grizzlies improved to 43-25 on the season with a dominant 125-91 win over the Heat on Saturday. Playing at home, Memphis was favored by six points and covered the spread with ease. The total points for the game were set at 224.5, but the teams combined for 216, falling short of the over/under line.

Memphis took control early, going on a 14-0 run to stretch the score from 21-16 to 35-16. They led 38-27 after the 1st quarter and continued to build their lead, outscoring Miami 25-21 in the 2nd quarter. The Grizzlies put the game out of reach in the 3rd quarter, holding the Heat to 19 points while scoring 31 of their own, and they finished strong with another 31 points in the 4th quarter.

The Kings Are Coming Off A Win

The Kings fell to 33-33 on the season after a 122-106 road loss to the Suns on Friday. Sacramento, who entered the game as +2 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 228, just under the 232.5 O/U line.

Phoenix’s 13-0 run early in the game put Sacramento in a tough spot, as they trailed 36-22 after the 1st quarter. The Kings bounced back in the 2nd, outscoring the Suns 35-26, but Phoenix pulled away again in the 3rd, leading 97-82 going into the 4th.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

Jaren Jackson Jr. led the Grizzlies to a 125-91 win over the Heat, scoring 31 points on 72.2% shooting. Desmond Bane added 22 points, hitting 4 threes at an 80% clip, and also contributed 10 rebounds and 8 assists.

Memphis shot 55.4% from the field, with a 38.7% success rate from beyond the arc, making 12 threes. Jackson scored 12 points in the 1st quarter, while Bane added 10 in the 3rd.

Kings Offense Breakdown

sacramento kings

In their loss to the Suns, the Kings hit just 8 threes, shooting 25% from deep, though they connected on 49.4% of their field goals overall. DeMar DeRozan led the way with 23 points, hitting 3 threes at 60% efficiency, while Zach LaVine added 21 points, 14 of which came in the 4th quarter.

Malik Monk contributed 18 points, with 12 coming in the 2nd quarter, and Keegan Murray added 14, scoring 7 in both the 1st and 2nd quarters. DeRozan scored 10 of his points in the 3rd quarter.

Grizzlies Team Defense

The Grizzlies put on a defensive clinic against the Heat on Saturday, holding them to just 91 points. Memphis allowed 27 points in the 1st quarter but tightened up in the 2nd, giving up only 21 points. The 3rd quarter was their best, as they limited Miami to 19 points, and they closed out strong by allowing 24 in the 4th.

Overall, the Grizzlies held the Heat to 39% shooting, including just 9 made threes on 24% shooting from beyond the arc. Miami went to the line 15 times, making 12 free throws. Memphis also grabbed 40 defensive rebounds, gave up 10 offensive boards, and added 7 steals and 6 blocks.

Kings Team Defense

The Grizzlies put on a defensive clinic against the Heat, holding them to just 91 points on Saturday. Memphis clamped down in the 3rd quarter, allowing only 19 points, and gave up just 27 points in the 1st quarter, their highest of the game. Overall, the Grizzlies limited Miami to 39% shooting from the field.

Memphis was particularly effective at defending the three-point line, where the Heat managed to hit only 9 threes at a 24% clip. The Grizzlies sent Miami to the free-throw line 15 times, where they converted 12. Defensively, Memphis recorded 7 steals and 6 blocks.

Grizzlies vs Kings Trends

  • Across their three previous road games, Memphis has an ATS mark of 1-1-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 117 points per game.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Sacramento has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 116 per game. The team went 5-5 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 0-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-4-1.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Sacramento has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 7-3 straight up.

Grizzlies vs Kings Prediction

The Grizzlies come in as the underdog at +2.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 239 and our model has the Grizzlies and Kings finishing with a combined 282 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.