Miami Heat vs New York Knicks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Miami Heat vs New York Knicks Prediction 3/17/2025

The Miami Heat (29-38) travel to face off against the New York Knicks (42-24) on Monday, March 17th. This game will be played at Madison Square Garden in New York and televised on ESPN. Both the Heat and Knicks will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip off is scheduled for 7:30 ET.

Heat vs Knicks

miami heat nba

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Miami’s season record fell to 29-38 after a 125-91 loss to the Grizzlies on Saturday. The Heat, who were +6 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 216 fell short of the 224.5 O/U line.

A 14-0 run by Memphis early on set the tone, as the Grizzlies extended their lead from 21-16 to 35-16. Miami struggled to close the gap, trailing 94-67 going into the 4th quarter, where they were outscored 31-24.

The Knicks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Knicks fell to 42-24 on the season after a 97-94 road loss to the Warriors on Saturday. New York entered the game as +6.5 point underdogs but managed to keep things close, losing by just three points. The game’s total score of 191 points was well below the O/U line of 228.5.

New York trailed 32-31 after the 1st quarter and 54-50 at halftime. They edged the Warriors 22-21 in the 3rd quarter but couldn’t close the gap in the 4th, as both teams scored 22 points in the final period.

Heat Offense Breakdown

In their 125-91 loss to the Grizzlies, the Heat struggled offensively, shooting just 39.8% from the field and hitting only 9 threes at a 24.3% clip. Kel’el Ware led Miami with 19 points and 11 rebounds, scoring 10 of his points in the 4th quarter.

Bam Adebayo added 18 points, with 12 coming in the 3rd quarter. Kyle Anderson and Jaime Jaquez each contributed 13 points, with Anderson also dishing out 5 assists.

Knicks Offense Breakdown

new york knicks

Karl-Anthony Towns led the Knicks with 29 points and 12 rebounds in their 97-94 loss to the Warriors, shooting 57.1% from the field and hitting 3 threes at a 60% clip. OG Anunoby added 23 points, while Mikal Bridges and Miles McBride each contributed 19 points, with Bridges shooting 57.1% from the floor.

The Knicks shot 43% as a team, making 9 threes at a 37.5% rate. Towns scored 11 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters, while Anunoby added 7 points in the final period.

Heat Team Defense

Defensively, the Heat struggled against the Grizzlies, allowing 125 points on 55% shooting. Their toughest stretch came in the 1st quarter, where they gave up 38 points. They managed to tighten up in the 2nd, holding Memphis to 25 points, but the Grizzlies still scored 31 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.

Miami limited Memphis to 12 made threes on 38% shooting from beyond the arc. The Grizzlies also went 11/12 from the free-throw line. The Heat gave up 11 offensive rebounds and finished with 6 steals and 4 blocks.

Knicks Team Defense

Defensively, the Heat struggled against the Grizzlies, allowing 125 points on 55% shooting. Memphis put up 38 points in the 1st quarter and added 31 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.

Miami limited the Grizzlies to 12 made threes on 38% shooting. Memphis also went 11/12 from the free-throw line. The Heat gave up 11 offensive rebounds while recording 6 steals and 4 blocks.

Heat vs Knicks Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Heat have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 103 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Knicks have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 4-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 111 points per game in this stretch.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Heat have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 0-3.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Knicks have gone 3-7 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 9-1.

Heat vs Knicks Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +7.5, we recommend going with the Heat on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 212 and given that our model is projecting 232 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.