The Milwaukee Bucks (42-34) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (35-42) on Saturday, April 5th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on FDSS. The Bucks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Bucks vs Heat

The Bucks Are Coming Off A Win

The Bucks improved to 42-34 on the season with a 126-113 road win over the 76ers on Thursday. Milwaukee, favored by 11.5 points, covered the spread, and the game’s total of 239 points went over the pre-game line of 227.5.

After falling behind 39-25 in the 1st quarter, Milwaukee responded by outscoring Philadelphia 36-20 in the 2nd quarter. They continued to build on their lead, taking a 96-87 advantage into the 4th quarter and outscoring the 76ers 30-26 in the final period.

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

Miami dropped to 35-42 on the season after a 110-108 loss to the Grizzlies on Thursday. The Heat were +5.5 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 218, falling short of the O/U line of 226.

Miami led 27-22 after the 1st quarter but were outscored 27-23 in the 2nd. Both teams put up 35 points in the 3rd, and the Heat held a slim 85-84 lead going into the 4th. However, they were outscored 26-23 in the final quarter.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

In their win over the 76ers, the Bucks shot 56.1% from the field and knocked down 16 threes at a 51.6% clip. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 35 points, 20 assists, and 17 rebounds, shooting 63.2% from the floor.

Brook Lopez added 17 points, while Kyle Kuzma contributed 16. Giannis scored 12 points in the 2nd quarter and 11 in the 4th, while Kuzma put up 9 points in the 3rd.

Heat Offense Breakdown

In their 110-108 loss to the Grizzlies, the Heat shot 41.1% from the field, but connected on 42.4% of their threes, hitting 14 from deep. Tyler Herro led Miami with 35 points, 9 rebounds, and 4 assists, making 4 threes at a 57.1% clip.

Bam Adebayo added 26 points, while Kel’el Ware contributed 13 points and 15 boards. Herro scored 19 points in the 3rd quarter, with Bam adding 12 in the 1st and Davion Mitchell chipping in 6 points in the 4th.

Bucks Team Defense

Despite a rough start, the Bucks tightened up defensively after the 1st quarter, where they allowed 39 points. They bounced back in the 2nd, giving up just 20 points, and maintained solid defense in the 3rd and 4th quarters, allowing 28 and 26 points, respectively. Overall, Milwaukee held the 76ers to 113 points on 48% shooting.

The Bucks excelled at defending the three, limiting Philadelphia to 12 made threes on 30% shooting. They also sent the 76ers to the line 19 times, where they made 15 free throws. Milwaukee finished with 32 defensive rebounds, allowed 11 offensive boards, and recorded 7 steals and 7 blocks.

Heat Team Defense

Despite a rough start, giving up 39 points in the 1st quarter, the Bucks tightened up defensively, allowing just 20 points in the 2nd quarter. They continued to improve in the 2nd half, giving up 28 points in the 3rd and 26 in the 4th, holding the 76ers to 113 points overall.

Milwaukee limited Philadelphia’s three-point shooting, allowing just 12 made threes on 30% shooting. The 76ers went to the line 19 times, hitting 15 free throws. The Bucks finished with 32 defensive rebounds, gave up 11 offensive boards, and added 7 steals and 7 blocks.

Bucks vs Heat Trends

• When looking at their past three road matchups, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 116 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
• Miami has played well in their previous five home games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 109 points per game while allowing 106. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
• Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 7-3.
• As the betting favorite, the Bucks have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Milwaukee posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.

Bucks vs Heat Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +2, the Heat is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 215.5, and our model predicts the Bucks and Heat to score a combined 216 points. We recommend betting on the over.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.