Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 3/17/2025

The Denver Nuggets (43-25) travel to face off against the Golden State Warriors (39-28) on Monday, March 17th. This game will be played at Chase Center in San Francisco and televised on ESPN. The Warriors are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nuggets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Nuggets vs Warriors

denver nuggets nba

The Nuggets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Denver’s record dropped to 43-25 after a 126-123 home loss to the Wizards on Saturday. The Nuggets were heavy favorites, entering the game as 12-point favorites, but failed to cover the spread. The total score of 249 points went over the pre-game line of 241.

Denver started strong, leading 44-30 after the 1st quarter, but the Wizards chipped away, outscoring the Nuggets in each of the remaining quarters. An 11-0 run by Washington in the 4th quarter, extending the score from 95-90 to 106-90, proved to be the turning point.

The Warriors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Warriors improved to 39-28 on the season with a 97-94 win over the Knicks on Saturday. Golden State, playing at home, was favored by 6.5 points but didn’t cover the spread.

The game’s total points were 191, well below the 228.5-point line. Golden State led 75-72 going into the 4th quarter, and both teams scored 22 points in the final period.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

Nikola Jokić led the Nuggets with 40 points, 13 rebounds, and 9 assists in their 126-123 loss to the Wizards, shooting 53.3% from the field. Jokić scored 20 points in the first quarter alone, adding 9 more in the third.

Jamal Murray contributed 24 points, 7 assists, and 3 made threes, while Russell Westbrook added 22 points and 11 assists, hitting 4 threes at 50% efficiency. Denver shot 50.5% from the field and 35.3% from three, making 12 threes in the game.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

golden state warriors

In their win over the Knicks, the Warriors managed just 97 points, shooting 39.8% from the field and 31.7% from beyond the arc, hitting 13 threes. Stephen Curry led the way with 28 points, 7 rebounds, and 5 assists, connecting on 4 threes at 30.8% shooting.

Moses Moody contributed 18 points, making 4 threes at a 50% clip. Curry scored 12 points in the 3rd quarter, while Moody added 7 in the 4th. Jimmy Butler III chipped in 11 points, 7 assists, and 6 rebounds, despite shooting just 27.3%.

Nuggets Team Defense

The Nuggets couldn’t contain the Wizards on Saturday, giving up 126 points in a 123-126 loss. Denver allowed at least 30 points in each quarter, including 33 in the 2nd. Washington shot 48% from the field.

Denver struggled to defend the three, as the Wizards hit 19 threes at a 42% clip. The Nuggets also allowed 13 offensive rebounds. Defensively, they recorded 12 steals and 8 blocks.

Warriors Team Defense

The Nuggets couldn’t slow down the Wizards on Saturday, giving up 126 points in a 126-123 loss. Denver allowed at least 30 points in each quarter, including 33 in the 2nd. Washington shot 48% from the field.

Denver struggled to defend the three, as the Wizards hit 19 threes on 42% shooting. The Nuggets sent Washington to the line 17 times, where they made 15 free throws. Denver finished with 12 steals and 8 blocks.

Nuggets vs Warriors Trends

  • Through their last three road games, Denver has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 115 points per game.
  • The Warriors are 3-2 ATS in their last home games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • The last ten games that Golden State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-4-1 while going 9-1 straight up.

Nuggets vs Warriors Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +5.5, we have the Nuggets as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 236, and our model projects the Nuggets and Warriors to reach a combined total of 245 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.