When you cast a lot of shade, you must be prepared for the comeupance. We cast a lot of deserved but unnecessary shade at the Toronto Maple Leafs and earned the parlay loss last night.
First, at least we hit the over. Second, an excuse: if we had known the perfect hockey player – John Tavares – would be in the lineup, we might have picked otherwise or avoided the game altogether.
However, Tavares dressed and helped the Toronto Maple Leafs to a 7-4 victory over an Edmonton squad that, despite having the best player to ever play the game and making improvements on defense, is still awful in their own zone.
We’re taking our comeupance in stride, but it is with a humble tone and our heads hanging lower than before that we turn to our contender to win the blog parlay title back: a title we only know in picture form because it’s entirely real.
Boston Bruins vs Detroit Red Wings Under 6.5 (-125)
When we need a win, we return to our black and gold safety blanket.
While we’re not taking the Bruins to win on the moneyline because there is no value in that, we are looking at the under against the Red Wings.
The Detroit Red Wings are ranked 19th in the NHL, averaging 3.2 goals per game, while the Bruins are second, averaging 3.8 goals per game. We know Boston has the league’s best defense, while Detroit is ranked 22nd and giving up 3.0 goals per game.
The Bruins have hit the under in the last two games and have a 4-5-1 over/under record in the last ten. The Red Wings have hit the under in three of the last five games and have a 4-6 over/under record in the last ten.
They also played last night, with Boston winning 3-2, hitting the under of 6.0. Yes, we are looking at backup goalies in this game, but Jeremy Swayman is an excellent member of the Bruins duo who will hold his own to keep this game to the under.
Boston 4 – Detroit 1. Take the under.
Vegas Golden Knights over St. Louis Blues (-149)
The St. Louis Blues and Vegas Golden Knights have both won two games in a row heading into Sunday night. However, these wins are nowhere near equal: St. Louis beat the dreadful Columbus Blue Jackets and the San Jose Sharks, while Vegas beat the Carolina Hurricanes and the Tampa Bay Lightning.
See what we mean?
The Blues are 3-7 straight-up in the last ten and have sold off most of their core pieces, and really shouldn’t be competitive with Vegas, which is currently atop the Pacific Divison.
The Golden Knights have won four of the last five and have a 6-4 straight-up record in the last ten. The statistical splits all favor the Golden Knights, and even the betting trends favor Vegas: Vegas is 5-2 in the last seven games in St. Louis and 11-5 in the last 16 overall, while the favorite is 16-6 in the last 22 games.
Take the Golden Knights to win on the moneyline with really good value.
New York Knicks vs Los Angeles Lakers O/U 220.0 (-110)
We’ve had a strange relationship with these two teams. However, we’re staying away from same-game parlays and the moneyline.
The New York Knicks have hit the under in three straight games and have a 4-6 over/under record in the last ten games.
All but one of the Knicks’ recent games had a total points line of 223.0 or higher. In that game against the Miami Heat, the Knicks and Heat covered the 216.5 line by 25.5 points.
The Los Angeles Lakers have hit the under in three of the last five games and have a 3-6-1 over/under record in the last ten games. The Lakers have not faced a total points line below 224.0 in some time.
The Knicks are 36-32-1 over/under on the season, while the Lakers are 33-33-1 over/under.
The over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
Although Jalen Brunson and Anthony Davis are both questionable for this game, looking at season averages and recent performances, we’re going to take the over as 220.0 shouldn’t be too high of a total points line for these two teams to hit.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.