So, about last night…
We have a problem, and it’s not our losing streak, although that remains a serious problem. Last night, we opened the week with a draw. Yes, that’s right, a bleepin’ draw.
At the end of our three-round fight with the house, we both stood in the ring as equal losers, although the house retained possession of our precious parlay blog championship.
We returned to our black and gold safety blanket but left Sunday with a chill as the Bruins not only shockingly lost to the Detroit Red Wings but, more importantly to our purposes, the Red Wings and Bruins combined to hit the over. Technically, that’s a loss and a shocking one at that.
However, take solace as the Vegas Golden Knights defeated the St. Louis Blues as expected, giving us a win. But the always-wild NBA has pushed us into a draw to start the week.
The Los Angeles Lakers and New York Knicks combined for 220 points exactly. Whether we picked the over or under, it doesn’t matter, as the Lakers and Knicks ended in a push, giving us a 0-0-1 record.
Tonight we get back in the ring armed with a multi-game parlay, looking to regain the parlay blog championship we lost so long ago.
Buffalo Sabres vs Toronto Maple Leafs Over 7.0 (-110)
Hello, darkness, my old friend.
We took our comeuppance on Sunday morning for casting Jupiter-levels of shade at the Toronto Maple Leafs. However, remember that the Toronto Maple Leafs still and will always suck as a general rule.
Taking away their overall awful status, the Toronto Maple Leafs are a very good hockey team and one of the higher-scoring teams in the NHL. And they recently got the perfect hockey player, John Tavares, back into Toronto’s very deep roster.
Toronto’s opposition tonight is the parlay blog’s beloved Buffalo Sabres, one of two teams who get heart-eyed emojis from us whether they win or lose (and we may love them more when they do lose).
Buffalo is ranked third in the NHL, averaging 3.6 goals per game, and has a 37-27-1 over/under record this season. However, the Sabres are 2-3 over/under in the last five games and have a 6-4 over/under record in the last ten.
Toronto has hit the over in the last two games, has a 2-2-1 over/under record in the last five, and a 4-5-1 over/under record in the last ten. The Maple Leafs have a 29-33-3 over/under record this season.
The over is 5-2-1 in the last eight games in Toronto, while both previous games ended in Toronto wins hitting the over. This includes the last matchup on February 21, in which the Leafs won 6-3, with a total goals line of 7.0.
With two of the highest-scoring teams in the NHL going head-to-head, their collective history this season, and one of those teams being the Sabres, you know what our pick is going to be: take the over.
Indiana Pacers over Detroit Pistons (-159)
Yes, we’re really trying our luck with an NBA moneyline pick. However, it won’t seem as crazy shortly.
The Indiana Pacers have won two straight games – including their last game, which was against the Detroit Pistons – and three of the last five. The Pacers are 6-4 in the last ten games and have a 12-21 road record.
The Pacers’ road record is better than the Pistons’ deplorably bad home record of 8-27. Detroit is on an 11-game losing streak and has lost 13 of the last 14, with their only win being against the not-very-good San Antonio Spurs in overtime on February 10.
Simply put: the Pistons are terrible and should not win this game.
Indiana has won both previous matchups this season, and we don’t see that trend changing. This should be as close to a lock in the NBA as we can find with decent valued odds. Take the Indiana Pacers to win on the moneyline.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks O/U 224 (-110)
We’re keeping this final leg of our Championship contending parlay here in Tennessee, hoping for a little home-state luck.
With Kyrie Irving listed as a game-time decision and Luka Doncic ruled out, we don’t expect this game to approach the 233 points scored in the first game this season, with the Mavericks taking the win, but do expect them to combine for at least 220 points, which was the total in the Grizzlies win on March 11.
The Grizzlies have a 29-36-1 over/under record this season, while the Mavericks are 37-30-1 over/under. The Grizzlies are 2-7-1 over/under in the last ten games, while Dallas is 5-4-1 over/under in the last ten.
Historically speaking, the under is 5-1 in the last six meetings and 4-1 in the last five games in Dallas.
With the major offensive weapons out of the Mavericks lineup and the historical and recent trends on our side, we’re taking the under of 224.0 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.