A new week means a new start. And, unlike Ferrari at the Bahrain Grand Prix, we aim to correct mistakes that have brought another long losing streak to the parlay blog.
However, we can’t be disappointed in losing yesterday’s parlay because the Phoenix Suns and Dallas Mavericks put on a show and shot the lights out, hitting the over and making our pick of the under loss.
We successfully predicted the Milwaukee Bucks would bounce back and defeat the Washington Wizards. Yet, we can be disappointed that the Detroit Red Wings offense didn’t show up and give Ville Husso any goal-scoring support, losing 3-1.
We ended last week 0-7 and 10-13 on individual picks, filled with shame. However, a new week gives us a fresh slate to start with. We’re technically undefeated (this week) and aiming to regain our blog betting championship!
Let’s see what ingredients we have in the kitchen to cook up a tasty winning parlay tonight.
Edmonton Oilers vs Buffalo Sabres Over 7.5 (+105)
Are you kidding me? Two of the parlay blogs regularly featured teams going head-to-head, and we are here for it!
The second you saw the McDavids show up, you knew that the pick for the first leg of our parlay was to take the over. However, the Kings of the Over are facing the third-highest scoring team in the NHL, with some of the worst defense imaginable, our beloved Buffalo Sabres.
The McDavids’ number-one ranked powerplay, converting at 31.9%, should feast if there is a buffet of Sabres penalties, as the Sabres have the 31st-ranked penalty-kill in the NHL (72.5%).
The Sabres have hit the over in four straight games and have an 8-2 over/under record in the last ten games and 36-24-1 overall. We call the McDavids the Kings of the over for a reason: the Oilers have a 7-2-1 over/under record in the last ten games and a staggering 42-18-4 over/under record overall.
Yes, 7.5 goals is a lot to cover and a very rare NHL total goals line, but if there are two teams in hockey, who could (and will) eclipse 7.5 goals, it’s the McDavids and parlay blog favorite Sabres.
Take the over as Edmonton and Buffalo do their best to roll back the clock and score like it’s the 1980s again.
Dallas Stars over Calgary Flames (-105)
Remember last week when we told you we know a lot about the Calgary Flames?
Well, we know a lot about the Flames, and enough to know Calgary’s goaltending has underperformed all season long, and the Flames’ offense needs a special night to crack three goals.
Moreover, with their playoff hopes fading fast, the Calgary Flames aren’t getting wins when they absolutely need them the most. The Flames are on a five-game losing streak and have a 2-8 record straight-up (2-5-3) in the last ten games.
We also know Jake Oettinger and the Dallas Stars are a very excellent team and one of the few Stanley Cup contenders in the Western Conference. The Stars have had their struggles, posting a 4-6 straight-up record (4-3-3) in the last ten games, and have won three straight games, albeit two of those wins were against the Arizona Coyotes and the Chicago Blackhawks.
Dallas should be favored more if you ask us, so take the Stars at -105 on the moneyline.
Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers Over 218.5 (-110)
Rather than touch the moneyline or spread in this one, we’re looking at the “other” good team in Boston, the Celtics, the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the total points line.
We don’t forget our losses, and the Celtics – the “best team in the Eastern Conference” – have cost us before by, frankly, not playing, whether it’s not putting anything close to their best roster on the court or just not really showing up in a big moment for the parlay blog.
Neither teams over/under records on the season are inspiring our picks one way or the other: The Celtics are 33-31-1 over/under, while the Cavaliers are 31-35 over/under. The Celtics are 2-5 over/under in the last five games and 7-3 over/under in the last ten. The Cavaliers have a 3-2 over/under record in the last five games and are 6-4 over/under in the last ten.
These two teams met on March 1, combing for 230 points and clearing the over of 219.0 points. In fact, in the three head-to-head matchups in the 2022-23 season, the Celtics and Cavaliers have hit the over in all three games, clearing a spread of 218.5 to 220.0 points in each game.
Unlike the Suns and Mavericks last night, where we opted for the conservative pick on the under, we’re taking Celtics and Cavaliers to hit the over for the fourth time this season.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.