Two weeks of the NFL season are in the books, and there have been many great games. However, the week three slate is better than any previous week. It’s time to find the betting value for each game!
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titans
The Tennessee Titans should dominate this football game for a variety of reasons. The team found a way to win 33-30 in overtime against the Seahawks in week two. Additionally, the Colts have dropped to 0-2, they have lackluster protection, and Carson Wentz is already injured.
There is a chance Wentz plays on Sunday, but he will be a sitting duck with an ankle injury. The Colts’ defense has looked susceptible in the run and pass game as well, which should give Tennessee an offensive field day.
The Titans are a 5.5 point favorite, and 67% of bettors believe they can cover. Additionally, the total is set at 48, and this should be exceeded. The Titans will control the game, but the Colts should have some offensive success if they can protect.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Tennessee Titan Over 48
Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Giants
The Giants gave away a game on Thursday to the Washington Football Team, but they did cover. The Falcons have not covered this season, but they should have success this Sunday at +3.
This game is a toss-up, so the home field for the Giants could make the difference. The Falcons will be able to score against New York’s defense, but Daniel Jones should also light up the scoreboard.
Bettors are favoring the over of 48 and the Falcons at +3. The Falcons on the money line at +145 also have a ton of value.
Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Giants Over 48 Falcons +3 Falcons ML
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Kansas City Chiefs
This game has everything necessary for a shootout when Justin Herbert and Patrick Mahomes compete in Kansas City. The Cowboys defeated the Chargers at home, and the Chiefs were bested by the Ravens on Sunday.
This game will be a battle, but the toughest question to consider is the team with a better chance to cover. At -6.5, the Chiefs will have to win by seven points, which could be risky considering Herbert is sensational.
The Chiefs have not blown a good team off the field in their first two matchups. Therefore, a risk on the Chargers at +6.5 could pay off in a big way.
Los Angeles Chargers +6 vs. Kansas City Chiefs
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Ben Roethlisberger has looked lethargic, leading the Steelers offense in the first two weeks of play. If the Bills had not collapsed in week one, Pittsburgh would be 0-2 in 2021.
The Bengals behind Joe Burrow are a pesky franchise. They defeated the Vikings in week one and nearly took down Chicago on the road in week two. The Steelers have a strong defense, so Burrow could have trouble. Yet, the stats show this game is going to be close.
59% of bettors favor the Steelers to cover at -4.5, and 58% believe the game will stay under 44. The under could be the best bet in this contest.
Cincinnati Bengals vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Under 44
Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns
Justin Fields received his first true action in week two against the Bengals. He did not shine, but the rookie will get the start this week. Fields should give the Browns a fight, but Cleveland is a better team.
The one thing going for Chicago is that Jarvis Landry and Odell Beckham Jr. are questionable. Yet, Cleveland still has weapons through the air and Nick Chubb on the ground.
Cleveland is a 7.5-point favorite, and they realistically should win by ten against the Bears. 57% of bettors think Cleveland will cover, and 79% think the game will go over 46.5 points.
Chicago Bears vs. Cleveland Browns Over 46.5
Baltimore Ravens vs. Detroit Lions
The Ravens are riding high after beating Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs on Sunday night. They will have to go to Detroit to play the Lions, who gave the Packers a fight in the first half of their week two matchup.
Jared Goff looked solid in the first half, and the Lions have proven through two games they can fight. The Ravens should take care of business, but Detroit could find a way to cover in this game.
However, 94% of bettors believe the Ravens will cover -8.5. This is the safe bet, but do not count out Detroit.
Baltimore Ravens -8.5 vs. Detroit Lions
The Saints did not show up in their week two game against the Panthers, but it proved Jameis Winston is still not elite. The best part about the Saints is the defense, which could give the Patriots trouble.
If New Orleans can shut down New England’s rushing attack, they should have success. However, the Patriots’ defense will not be easy for Winston. The unit forced four turnovers last weekend against Zach Wilson and the Jets.
The spread of three points favors the Patriots, and it’s questionable on both sides. Bettors are also split on a total of 41.5. The money lines have good value because this is a tight matchup. Saints at +140 could be the best bet.
New Orleans Saints ML vs. New England Patriots
This game should not be close, and it should go over the total. Kyler Murray looks elite at quarterback for Arizona, and it has given the team a 2-0 start. Arizona survived against Minnesota because of the offense, but the defense must tighten up their game.
The Jaguars are not a threat, and Trevor Lawrence is struggling without a line and legitimate threats. The Cardinals at -7.5 is a steal, and 94% of bettors are taking this side.
The total is more of a question, but Murray can bring this game over with some help from the Jaguars’ offense.
Arizona Cardinals -7.5 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
The Bills blew the Dolphins off the field in week two after collapsing against the Steelers to start the year. Washington stole a game from the Giants on Thursday night, but they did not play well. Taylor Heinicke will be leading the offense in Washington, and I do not think he will have the stamina to compete with Josh Allen.
If Washington’s front seven can attack Allen, there is a chance they win this game. However, Chase Young’s squad has been underwhelming. 65% of bettors think the Bills will cover -8.5.
This is a safer bet than the total, which is set at 46%. This could be an offensive shootout or a defensive battle.
Washington Football Team vs. Buffalo Bills -8.5
The Jets are not a good football team when healthy, and they are dealing with numerous injuries. Zach Wilson is coming off a four-interception performance against the Patriots on Sunday. New York is 0-2 on the season, and they have not covered.
The Broncos are 2-0 on the year and ATS. They will be a 10.5-point favorite at home, which is large, but I do not trust the Jets. Additionally, 65% of bettors think the total will surpass 41 points.
New York Jets vs. Denver Broncos Over 41
The Dolphins will likely be without Tua Tagovailoa on Sunday because of a rib injury. If he does play, expect him to be limited in the game. The Raiders are playing great currently, but they have numerous injury issues as well.
I think the Raiders win on Sunday, but it will be hard for them to sustain their success moving forward. Derek Carr is beat up, but he should play, giving Las Vegas the advantage.
The Raiders are -4 at home, which could be the best spread of the week for value. 90% of bettors are taking this line.
Miami Dolphins vs. Las Vegas Raiders -4
The Seattle Seahawks are -2 against the Vikings on the road. This is a steal, considering Seattle has looked strong through two weeks. They were bested by the Titans 33-30 and could not cover, but Tennessee is talented.
The Seahawks at -2 have a lot of value. Additionally, Seattle’s money line is -125, so this is a safe bet that could turn into a nice payout. If you like Vikings, take them on the money line for +111. They have played the Bengals and Cardinals tough in 2021.
Seattle Seahawks ML vs. Minnesota Vikings
This game could be an early preview of the NFC Championship Game. The Buccaneers and Rams are both 2-0, but 1-1 ATS. The Buccaneers have the advantage in this game because of their chemistry.
The Rams look good, but this is Matt Stafford’s first year in the offense. The chemistry between Brady and his receivers has been apparent through two weeks of action.
Tampa Bay is EVEN on the spread, and 78% of bettors are going with the team. Additionally, 81% of bettors like the over. This is a pick ’em game, but the Buccaneers should prevail.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Los Angeles Rams Buccaneers ML Over
The Packers are coming off a big win on Monday night over the Lions. It was not pretty until the second half, but the important thing for Green Bay is they found a way to win. The Packers are +3.5, and this is the best line in this game.
Only 19% of bettors like the 49ers at -3.5. The Packers are explosive, so this will help them prosper on the road. The 49ers looked okay against the Eagles last week, but Green Bay is still my pick.
Green Bay Packers ML vs. San Francisco 49ers
* All odds provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.