Lesson Learned: when you spend time speaking to a team’s excellent defense and their tendency to hit the under, you should probably take the under.
We aimed for fun and constructed a same-game parlay featuring the Buffalo Sabres and the Winnipeg Jets yesterday. The Sabres covered the spread as predicted but won 3-2, giving us losses on the moneyline and over/under picks.
This brings our weekly parlay record to a disappointing 0-5, with a 9-6 record on individual picks. Today, we turn our attention to the most important games of the weekend for our parlay: the NFC and AFC Championship games.
Spoiler alert: we’re going Who Dey all day.
Cincinnati Bengals over Kansas City Chiefs (+100)
For the last five years, the AFC Championship game has taken place in Kansas City, and for the second year in a row, Joe Burrow leads the Cincinnati Bengals into Arrowhead Stadium with a trip to the Super Bowl on the line.
Patrick Mahomes is going to gut through an ankle injury and try to find that Mahomes magic that has made him must-see TV weekly. However, the Bengals have had the Chiefs’ number since Burrow arrived in Ohio, posting a perfect 3-0 record.
Mahomes’ injury will likely limit his effectiveness to extend plays and weave that special Mahomes magic. At the same time, Tiger King Joe Brrr will cement his position as the NFL’s best quarterback, leading the Bengals to a second straight Super Bowl appearance.
Cincinnati Bengals +1 over Kansas City Chiefs (-110)
The point spread line has moved regularly this week, with money coming in on both sides but skewing toward the Bengals, with Mahomes’ ankle injury being a major factor.
We’re taking the Bengals as the slight underdog on the moneyline. To win the game, they will have to cover a +1 point spread to do so. Moreover, Cincinnati is 5-1 ats in the last six meetings with Kansas City.
Who Dey, all day: take Cincy and the Tiger King to win on the moneyline and cover the +1 point spread.
San Francisco 49ers over Philadelphia Eagles (+120)
While we could have made our picks for this parlay a same-game parlay on the AFC Championship game, we’re giving some love to the NFC.
The San Francisco 49ers’ impressive number-one-ranked defense will have their hands full with Jalen Hurts and the Eagles’ third-ranked offense. At the same time, Brock Purdy will attempt to guide the 49ers’ offense to another win by controlling the clock and exploiting the Eagles’ running defense, which was ranked 16th in the league.
We’ve really liked the season the 49ers have put together and believe San Francisco’s defense and running game will be the difference maker in this game.
It’s always sunny in Philadelphia, but the West Coast is the best coast, and the sun shines brighter and hotter in California. Take the San Francisco 49ers to win on the road as the underdog in the NFC Championship game.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.