Yesterday we split our parlay picks between the NHL and NBA playoffs with mixed results.
In leg one, we successfully predicted Jimmy Butler and the Miami Heat would defeat the New York Knicks, with the Heat taking a 109-101 win and a 3-1 series lead.
In leg two, we went to the best coast and the Battle of California, successfully predicting that the Los Angeles Lakers and Golden State Warriors would hit the under (again). The Lakers defeated the Warriors 104 – 101, hitting the under by 22.5 points.
We entrusted our parlay win and championship fate to the McDavids of the North. While we appealed to the Kings of the Over asking for a moneyline win for help, they didn’t show up last night: the Edmonton Oilers lost 5-1 to the Vegas Golden Knights.
With the McDavids failing us, we drop to 0-2 on parlays for the week while improving our individual picks record to 3-3.
We’re going back to the same-game parlay to get our first parlay win of the week.
Denver Nuggets over Phoenix Suns (-217)
The home team has won all four games in this series so far and all eight head-to-head matchups this season.
The Nuggets and Suns have split the season series 4-4.
The Suns have a 19-26 road record, while the Nuggets have a 39-7 home record.
We expect the Suns will rely heavily on KD and wonder if Devin Booker can maintain his incredible shooting efficiency from games three and four on the road.
While the Suns looked better on home court without Chris Paul, we don’t think that will translate back to Denver.
We’re taking the Nuggets to win game five on home court.
Denver Nuggets -5.5 over Phoenix Suns (-110)
The Suns have a 47-43-1 ats record, while the Nuggets have a 49-41-1 ats record.
Denver has a 5-3 ats record against the Suns this season. Denver has covered the spread in three of the four games on home court, the exception being the Nuggets vs Suns matchup on December 25th in Denver.
We’re taking the Nuggets to win and cover the spread at home.
Phoenix Suns versus Denver Nuggets Over 228.0 (-115)
Phoenix has a 47-41-3 over/under record this season, while Denver has a 43-47-1 over/under record.
The over is 4-1 in the previous five meetings, going 3-1 in this series. The over is 5-3 in the head-to-head series.
Despite thinking that Book might not have the same shooting percentage, we’re still following the trends and taking the Nuggets and Suns to hit the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.