Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies NCAAB Betting Prediction

Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies Prediction 3/1/2024

The Air Force Falcons (9-18) travel to face off against the Utah State Aggies (23-5) on Friday, March 1st. This game will be played at Dee Glen Smith Spectrum in Logan and televised on FS1. Utah State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Air Force is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Boise State. Tip-off is set for 11:00 ET.

Air Force Falcons vs Utah State Aggies

The Air Force Falcons Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Today, Air Force will be looking to snap their 11-game losing streak at home. So far this season, they have a 4-12 record at home, compared to a 5-6 record on the road. As the underdog, they have gone 3-12, and they are 2-13 in Mountain West play.

Over their last ten games on the road, the Falcons have gone 4-6, and they are 2-3 in their last five. Their record over their last three games is 1-2. In their most recent game, they lost to Boise State by a score of 79-48.

Against the spread, Air Force has struggled this season with an 8-19 mark. However, on the road, the Falcons have been much better, going 6-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Air Force is just 3-7 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Air Force games is 19-8. The average scoring total in their games this year is 138.2 points, which is a bit below the average over/under line of 134.4. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 132 points.

The Utah State Aggies Are Coming Off A Win

Utah State enters this game against Air Force as the heavy favorites, as they have been in 20 of their 28 games this season. They have gone 19-1 in those games, and they have gone 12-1 at home this season.

The Aggies have been even better at home of late, going 9-1 in their last 10 games and 4-1 in their last five. They are coming off a 68-63 win over San Diego State.

Utah State has an overall ATS record of 14-9-1 this season, including a mark of 9-4 ATS at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aggies have gone 6-3-1 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Utah State sits at 13-11. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 147.9 points, which is three points higher than their average over/under line of 144.9. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 136 points.

Air Force Offense Breakdown

The Air Force offense is coming off a game in which they scored 48 points vs. Boise State. Overall their field goal percentage was 43.6% while connecting on 5 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Falcons offense has been good from outside, hitting 36% of their three-pointers on an average of 24.1 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.

Ethan Taylor (G) 14.4 4.0 2.8
Beau Becker (F) 14.4 4.6 1.6
Rytis Petraitis (F) 15.2 6.0 3.6

Utah State Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Utah State offense put up 68 points against San Diego State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 49% and made 7 threes. The top scorer for the Aggies was Darius Brown II with 25 points, while Great Osobor also chipped in with 17 points.

Great Osobor (F) 17.9 9.2 3.0
Ian Martinez (G) 12.9 3.6 1.8
Darius Brown II (G) 12.0 4.3 6.3

Air Force Team Defense

On defense, Air Force is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 71.6 points per game. Against Boise State in their most recent game, the Air Force defense gave up a total of 79 points while allowing Boise State to hit 43% of their shots.

Utah State Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Utah State defense is giving up an average of 69.4 points per contest. Utah State’s defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the San Diego State offense to knock down 49% of their shots on their way to putting up 63 points.

Falcons vs Aggies Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Falcons offense has averaged 66 points per game while allowing an average of 81. Air Force posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Although Utah State has a straight up record of 2-1 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 0-2-1. The team averaged 72 points per game in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Falcons have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.
  • Although the Aggies have a strong straight up record in their last five games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 2-2-1.

Falcons vs Aggies Prediction

In this Aggies vs. Aggies matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Aggies at -16. While we project the Aggies to win 75-70, our recommendation is to bet on the Falcons for the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 139 and our model has the Falcons and Aggies finishing with a combined 145 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.