Alabama Crimson Tide vs Florida Gators NCAAB Betting Prediction

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Florida Gators Prediction 3/5/2024

The Alabama Crimson Tide (20-9) travel to face off against the Florida Gators (20-9) on Tuesday, March 5th. This game will be played at Exactech Arena in Gainesville and televised on ESPN. Both Alabama and Florida will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Florida Gators

The Alabama Crimson Tide Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Alabama will look to bounce back from a tough 81-74 loss to Tennessee. The Crimson Tide are 20-9 overall and 11-4 in Southeastern Conference play. On the road, Alabama has gone 7-7 this season, and over their last 10 road games, they are 6-4.

For the season, Alabama has been the underdog in seven games, going just 1-6. They will be the underdog again today, as they are getting two points. On the year, they have been the favorite in 21 games, going 18-3.

As the underdog, Alabama has struggled against the spread lately, going 0-3 in their last three games and 1-4 in their last five. However, their overall ATS record this season is a solid 17-11. On the road, the Crimson Tide are 6-8 vs. the spread this year, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

Alabama’s over/under record for the season sits at 20-8 and today’s over/under line of 177.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (161.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 185 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 8-2.

The Florida Gators Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Florida enters this game with a record of 20-9, including a 10-5 mark in Southeastern Conference play. At home, the Gators are 15-1 this season, and they have won their last seven games at home.

Coming off an 82-76 loss to South Carolina, Florida is favored, which is something they have been in 22 of their 29 games. So far, they are 18-4 when they are favored.

When looking at Florida’s ATS record this season, they have gone just 12-16. In their 22 games as the favorite, the Gators have gone 9-13 vs. the spread. Over their last three home games, Florida is 0-3 ATS and they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games at home. In their last three games as the favorite, the Gators are 1-2 ATS.

This season, the over/under record in Florida games is 16-11-1. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 155.2 and their games have had an average of 160.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 177.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games this season. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 151 points.

Alabama Offense Breakdown

Against Tennessee, the Alabama had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 90.9 points per game. They scored 74 points and posted a field goal percentage of 38.3% in the game. The team’s scoring leader is Mark Sears, who holds an average of 20.7 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Aaron Estrada is averaging 13.3 points per game this season.

Mark Sears (G) 20.7 4.2 4.1
Aaron Estrada (G) 13.3 5.4 4.4
Grant Nelson (F) 11.9 5.5 1.8

Florida Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 84.4 points per game, the Florida had a below average performance. They scored 76 points against South Carolina and had a field goal percentage of 48.2%. The top scorer for the Gators was Walter Clayton Jr. with 20 points, while Zyon Pullin also chipped in with 18 points.

Walter Clayton Jr. (G) 16.9 3.7 2.7
Zyon Pullin (G) 15.4 3.9 4.8
Tyrese Samuel (F) 13.5 7.7 1.7

Alabama Team Defense

At this time, the Crimson Tide’s defense is positioned 315th in the country, permitting 79.3 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Alabama’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 44.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.6% this season.

Florida Team Defense

Looking at the Florida defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 77.2 points per game (286th). In their most recent game, the Florida defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as South Carolina knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 82 points.

Crimson Tide vs Gators Trends

  • The Crimson Tide are 3-2 ATS in their last road games and 3-2 straight-up.
  • Across the Gators last ten home games, the team averaged 82 points per game while allowing 85. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-4, while going 4-6 straight-up.
  • As the betting underdog, the Crimson Tide have an ATS mark of just 1-4 in their last five games. Alabama posted a straight up mark of 1-4 in these matchups.
  • Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Gators have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 1-4.

Crimson Tide vs Gators Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Gators to secure the win, with an expected final score of 76-69. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -2.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 177.5, and our model projects the Crimson Tide and Gators to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.