Alabama Crimson Tide vs Georgia Bulldogs NCAAB Betting Prediction

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Georgia Prediction 1/31/2024

The Alabama Crimson Tide (14-6) travel to face off against the Georgia Bulldogs (14-6) on Wednesday, January 31st. This game will be played at Stegeman Coliseum in Athens and televised on SECN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 6:30 ET.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Georgia Bulldogs

The Alabama Crimson Tide Are Coming Off A Win

Alabama heads into this game with a 14-6 overall record, including a 6-1 mark in Southeastern Conference play. The Crimson Tide have won two straight games, and they are 13-2 this season when favored.

On the road this season, Alabama is 4-5, and they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games away from home. Their average scoring margin on the road is +1.2, compared to +24.6 at home.

As the favorite this season, Alabama has gone 10-5 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide are 6-4 vs. the spread. On the road this year, Alabama has an ATS mark of 3-6 and over their last 3 road games, they have gone 1-2 vs. the spread.

Alabama’s over/under record for the season sits at 14-6, and today’s line of 165.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (159.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 170 points, which is higher than today’s line.

The Georgia Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

Georgia is 11-2 at home this season, and they have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games at home. They are also 11-0 when they are the favorite, but they are 3-5 when they are the underdog. This season, the Bulldogs have an average scoring margin of +8.0 points per game at home.

Georgia is 14-6 overall this season, and they have gone 4-2 in Southeastern Conference games. They are coming off a 68-66 win over LSU, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five games at home.

As the underdog, Georgia has been solid against the spread this season, going 5-3. Their overall ATS record is 11-7-1, and they are 7-5-1 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bulldogs are 6-4.

The over/under record for Georgia games this season is 9-10 and the average over/under line in their games is 148.7. So far, 16 of their games have finished with less points than today’s over/under line of 165.5. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 178 points.

Alabama Offense Breakdown

Alabama’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 109 points against LSU. They had an overall field goal percentage of 55.6% and made 25/28 free throws. The team’s scoring leader is Mark Sears, who holds an average of 19.9 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Aaron Estrada is averaging 12.8 points per game this season.

Mark Sears (G) 19.9 3.9 3.9
Aaron Estrada (G) 12.8 5.1 3.9
Grant Nelson (F) 12.2 6.0 1.9

Georgia Offense Breakdown

Against LSU, the Georgia had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 77.3 points per game. They scored 68 points and posted a field goal percentage of 43.1% in the game. One area that the Georgia offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 12th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 43%.

Jabri Abdur-Rahim (G) 13.4 3.9 0.4
Noah Thomasson (G) 11.9 3.0 1.6
RJ Melendez (G) 11.1 4.3 1.1

Alabama Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Alabama defense is giving up an average of 75.6 points per contest. Alabama’s three-point defense is currently 135th in the country at 7.4 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.1% of their shots vs. Alabama.

Georgia Team Defense

At present, the Bulldogs’ defense is nationally ranked 201st, allowing 73.2 points per game. In today’s game vs. Alabama, the Georgia defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Georgia made 19 free-throws vs. the Bulldogs.

Crimson Tide vs Bulldogs Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Alabama has an ATS mark of 3-7. Their straight up record in these matchups was 4-6 while averaging 81 points per game.
  • Georgia has played well in their previous five home games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 82 points per game while allowing 82. The team also performed well vs the spread at 5-0.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Georgia has an ATS mark of 3-0 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Crimson Tide have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 4-1 in these scenarios.

Crimson Tide vs Bulldogs Prediction

The Bulldogs come in as the underdog at +5.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 165.5 and our model has the Crimson Tide and Bulldogs finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.