The Alabama Crimson Tide (16-7) travel to face off against the LSU Tigers (12-10) on Saturday, February 10th. This game will be played at Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge and televised on ESPN. Both Alabama and LSU will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 12:00 ET.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs LSU Tigers
The Alabama Crimson Tide Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Alabama enters this game as a six-point favorite, and they have been the favorite in 17 of their 23 games this season, going 15-2 in those matchups. The Crimson Tide have been a much stronger team at home, going 11-1 compared to just 5-6 on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +.2 compared to +25.2 at home.
Alabama’s record in the Southeastern Conference is 8-2, and they are coming off a loss to Auburn, 99-81. Over their last 10 road games, the Tide are 5-5, and their overall record is 16-7.
Alabama has an ATS record of 14-9 this season and they are 12-5 vs. the spread when favored. Their road ATS record is 4-7 and they have gone 1-2 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games.
This season, the over/under record in Alabama games is 16-7. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 165.7 points, which is 5.8 points higher than the average over/under line of 159.9. Today’s over/under line of 166 is similar to the average scoring total in their last three games (168) and their games this season have finished with more points than today’s line 10 times.
The LSU Tigers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
LSU enters this game as a 6-point underdog, and they have gone 2-8 when listed as the underdog this season. They are 10-4 at home this season, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.
So far this season, LSU has gone 12-10, and they have gone 4-5 in Southeastern Conference play. They are coming off a loss to Tennessee, and they have gone 2-1 in their last three games at home.
As the underdog this season, LSU has gone 3-7 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Tigers have gone 3-7 ATS. At home this season, LSU is 6-8 vs. the spread.
LSU’s over/under record this season is 12-10 and the average scoring in their games is 150 points. Today’s over/under line of 166 is higher than the average OU line in their games this season (147.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring is 173 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 7-3.
Alabama Offense Breakdown
Compared to their season average of 89.5 points per game, Alabama struggled in their previous game. Against Auburn, the Crimson Tide scored 81 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 37.3%. Offensively, the Crimson Tide hold a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, placing them 50th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 44th in terms of percentage and 4th in three-pointers made.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sears (G) | 20.3 | 4.2 | 3.9 |
| Aaron Estrada (G) | 12.7 | 5.0 | 3.8 |
| Grant Nelson (F) | 12.3 | 5.8 | 1.8 |
LSU Offense Breakdown
In contrast to their season average of 77.1 points per game, the LSU had a below average performance. They scored 68 points against Tennessee and had a field goal percentage of 41.4%. The LSU offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 22.5 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 34% of their looks from outside this season.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wright (G) | 15.2 | 5.1 | 2.8 |
| Will Baker (F) | 11.9 | 5.1 | 1.0 |
| Mike Williams III (G) | 8.0 | 2.2 | 1.5 |
Alabama Team Defense
As they prepare for the upcoming game, Alabama is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 76.2 points per game (267th). Against Auburn in their most recent game, the Alabama defense gave up a total of 99 points while allowing Auburn to hit 42% of their shots.
LSU Team Defense
At present, the Tigers’ defense is nationally ranked 203rd, allowing 72.9 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, LSU’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.7% this season.
Crimson Tide vs Tigers Trends
- Although Alabama has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 4-6. The team averaged 83 points per game in these games.
- Across the Tigers last five home games, the team averaged 73 points per game while allowing 82. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 1-4 straight-up.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Tigers have a straight up record of 0-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-4.
- Through their last three games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide have an ATS record of 3-0 and a straight up mark of 3-0.
Crimson Tide vs Tigers Prediction
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +6, the Tigers is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 166, and our model projects the Crimson Tide and Tigers to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:February 10, 2024 Alabama Crimson Tide, LSU Tigers