Alabama Crimson Tide vs Missouri Tigers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Missouri Tigers Prediction 2/19/2025

The Alabama Crimson Tide (21-4) travel to face off against the Missouri Tigers (19-6) on Wednesday, February 19th. This game will be played at Mizzou Arena in Columbia and televised on SECN. Missouri is coming off a win in their previous game, while Alabama is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Auburn. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Alabama Crimson Tide vs Missouri Tigers

The Crimson Tide Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Alabama’s season record dropped to 21-4 after a 94-85 loss to Auburn on Saturday. The Crimson Tide, who were -1.5 favorites, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points reached 179, surpassing the over/under line of 174.5.

Alabama trailed 42-33 at halftime and couldn’t make up ground in the second half, as both teams scored 52 points after the break.

The Tigers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Missouri improved to 19-6 on the season with an 87-74 road win over Georgia on Saturday. The Tigers entered the game as -2.5 favorites and covered the spread, while the total points of 161 exceeded the over/under line of 143.5.

After trailing 41-38 at halftime, Missouri turned things around in the second half, outscoring Georgia 49-33 to secure the win.

Crimson Tide Offense Breakdown

Alabama put up 85 points in their last game, despite shooting just 38.6% from the field and 19.2% from three-point range, hitting only 5 of 26 attempts from deep. Their effective field goal percentage was 42.9%, but they made up for it by hitting 26 of 35 free throws, good for 74.3%.

Johni Broome led the way with 19 points and 14 rebounds, while also dishing out 6 assists. Mark Sears added 18 points, though he struggled from the field, shooting just 23.5% overall and 18.2% from three. Denver Jones contributed 16 points, hitting 3 of 5 from beyond the arc.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Missouri put up 87 points in their last game, shooting 47.1% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 54.3%. They were strong inside, hitting 58.5% of their two-point attempts, while connecting on 31% from beyond the arc (9/29). At the free-throw line, they were efficient, making 12 of 14 attempts (85.7%).

Asa Newell led the way with 23 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 73.3% from the field. Anthony Robinson II added 15 points and 7 assists, hitting 63.6% of his shots. Missouri recorded 18 assists as a team and grabbed 17 offensive rebounds.

Crimson Tide Team Defense

Despite Alabama’s defensive efforts, they gave up 94 points, even while holding the opposing team to just 38% shooting from the field. The Crimson Tide allowed 22 made two-pointers on 44 attempts, a 50% success rate for their opponents.

From beyond the arc, Alabama’s defense limited the other team to 5 made threes on 26 attempts, a 19% shooting performance. However, they sent their opponents to the free-throw line 35 times, where they converted 26 free throws, shooting 74%. Alabama also allowed 14 offensive rebounds.

Tigers Team Defense

Even though Alabama gave up 94 points, they held the opposing team to 38% shooting from the field. The Crimson Tide allowed 22 two-point baskets on 44 attempts, a 50% conversion rate.

From beyond the arc, Alabama’s defense limited their opponent to just 5 made threes on 26 attempts, a 19% shooting performance. At the free-throw line, the opposing team went 26/35, hitting 74% of their shots. Alabama also gave up 14 offensive rebounds.

Crimson Tide vs Tigers Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Crimson Tide have a straight up record of 9-1 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 92 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Tigers have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 74 points per game in this stretch.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Tigers have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-1.
  • Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Crimson Tide have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 2-3.

Crimson Tide vs Tigers Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +1.5, the Tigers is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 170.5 and given that our model is projecting 146 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.