The Alabama Crimson Tide (12-1) face off against the Michigan Wolverines (13-0) on Monday, January 1st. This game will be played at Rose Bowl in Pasadena and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 5:00 ET.
Alabama Crimson Tide vs Michigan Wolverines
The Alabama Crimson Tide Are Coming Off A Win
As Alabama prepares to face Michigan, they are coming off a 27-24 win over Georgia. In the win against Georgia, quarterback Jalen Milroe achieved a QB rating of 112.95, completing 13 of 23 passes for 192 yards. Additionally, he contributed two touchdowns to the game.
Going into the game, the over/under line was 54 points, which the teams did not surpass. Against the spread, Alabama picked up a win as 5.5-point underdogs.
So far, the Alabama Crimson Tide are 12-1, including going 5-0 on the road and 6-1 at home.
Heading into this week’s matchup with Michigan, the Crimson Tide have been favored in 11 games and the underdog in one. Their ATS mark coming into the game is 8-4. This season, Alabama has an over/under record of 8-4. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 53.5 points, with the typical over/under line being 51.3 points.
The Michigan Wolverines Are Coming Off A Win
Michigan is coming off a 26-0 win over Iowa. The Wolverines set the tone early in the game, leading by a score of 10-0 after the first quarter. J.J. McCarthy finished with 147 yards against Iowa while going 22 for 30 for a completion percentage of 73.3%. He ended the game without a rushing or passing touchdown.
Michigan was favored by 22 heading into the game, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The under hit in the game, as the team’s combined for 26 with an over/under line of 35.5.
Michigan carries a 13-0 record into this week’s game. This season, they’ve had six away games and seven home contests.
This season, Michigan has a scoring margin of +27.2. Their ATS record stands at 7-5-1 and they have been favored in all of their games. The average point total in Michigan’s 13 games is currently 46.2 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 7-6 for the Wolverines.
Alabama Offense Breakdown
Alabama enters the game on offense with an average of 35.1, ranking them 14th in the NCAA. Their passing game has them at 54th in the nation, with an average of 228.5 passing yards per game. On the ground, they’re at 30th in rushing yards, with an average of 509 rushing attempts per game this season.
This season, Jalen Milroe has thrown for a total of 2718 yards while maintaining an average of 15.9 yards per completion. His completion percentage is 65.5%, and he’s recorded 23 touchdowns.
Michigan Offense Breakdown
As they prepare to face the Alabama, the Wolverines’ offense is averaging 162.9 rushing yards per game and 4 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 48th in rushing yards and 60th in passing yards, on an average of 218.8 yards per matchup. Michigan has averaged 36.7 points per game so far. This figure places them 10th in the nation.
J.J. McCarthy has thrown for 2630 yards this season, with an average of 12.3 per completion. His completion percentage is 74.2%, and he’s recorded 19 touchdowns.
Alabama Team Defense
Alabama comes into the game 67th in points allowed, allowing 18.4 points per game. Teams have been gaining 188.8 passing yards on average against them (40th). Against the run, they’re giving up 124.5 yards, placing them 44th in college football.
Michigan Team Defense
The Wolverines’ defense has given up 87.1 rushing yards per game this season, which is 207th. Opponents are recording an average of 152.6 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 59.1 when playing against Michigan. In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 108th in NCAA rankings.
Alabama vs Michigan Trends
- Looking at Alabama’s ten most recent road games, they have put together a record vs. the spread of 5-5.
- Michigan is 4-1 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
- Looking back at the last five times Michigan went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 3-2.
- Alabama are 4-1 in their last five games as favorites.
Michigan’s offense hasn’t been performing well on third down so far this season. I don’t see them suddenly resolving this issue, and like Alabama +1.5.
On the over/under, I have the best bet being to take the over at 46. This looks like a slam dunk bet for me, as my gut tells me the over will hit as well as our model projecting a combined 49 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.