alamo bowl prediction

Arizona vs Oklahoma Sooners Alamo Bowl Prediction 12/28/2023

The Arizona Wildcats (9-3) face off against the Oklahoma Sooners (10-2) on Thursday, December 28th. This game will be played at Alamodome in San Antonio and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Kickoff is set for 9:15 ET.

Arizona Wildcats vs Oklahoma Sooners

The Arizona Wildcats Are Coming Off A Win

In their most recent game, Arizona had no problem taking down Arizona State, as they went on to win by a score of 59-23. In the win vs. Arizona State, quarterback Noah Fifita concluded with a QB rating of 144.56, connecting on 30 of 41 passes for 527 yards. He also added five touchdowns to his performance.

Heading into the game Arizona was the betting favorite at 12.5 and picked up an ATS win. Together, the teams scored 82 points, resulting in a hit for the over.

So far, the Arizona Wildcats are 9-3, including going 4-0 on the road and 4-1 at home.

So far, Arizona has been favored five times and the underdog in four games. This has led to an ATS record of 7-2 and an average scoring differential of +13.5. Through 12 games, the average over/under line in Arizona’s games is 57.2 points. Their games have averaged a combined 55.2 points leading to an OU record of 3-6.

The Oklahoma Sooners Are Coming Off A Win

Most recently, Oklahoma faced off with TCU and picked up an easy 69-45 win. In the team’s most recent win, quarterback Dillon Gabriel was not only responsible for three touchdowns through the air but also added one touchdown on the ground. In terms of passing, he accumulated 400 yards while achieving a completion rate of 63.2%.

Going into the game, Oklahoma was favored by 10.5 and went on to cover the spread. The team’s combined 114 points surpassed the over/under line of 64.

So far, the Oklahoma Sooners are 10-2, including going 3-2 on the road and 7-0 at home.

Oklahoma’s average scoring differential for the season is +20.9 leading to an ATS mark of 8-4. The Sooners have been favored 11 times and the underdog in one games The average point total in Oklahoma’s 12 games is currently 65.4 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 7-5 for the Sooners.

Arizona Offense Breakdown

The Wildcats come into their matchup vs. Oklahoma 81st in college football at 364 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 149.9 rushing yards per game, placing them 77th nationally. Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 35.5 times each game, accumulating an average of 304.5 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 25th, with 34.3 points per game.

So far, Noah Fifita has thrown for 2515 yards this season while averaging 11.6 per completion. His completion percentage this year is 73.6% and he has thrown 23 touchdowns.

Oklahoma Offense Breakdown

On offense, Oklahoma comes into the game averaging 43.2, which is 5th in the NCAA. On average, they are averaging 321.8 passing yards (7th) compared to 40th in rushing yards. For the season, they are averaging 478 rushing attempts per contest.

Dillon Gabriel leads the team in passing yards this season with 3660. He’s averaged 13.8 per completion and holds a 69.3% completion rate, having thrown 30 touchdowns.

Arizona Team Defense

Arizona comes into the game 71st in points allowed, allowing 20.8 points per game. Teams have been gaining 229.6 passing yards on average against them (100th). Against the run, they’re giving up 111.7 yards, placing them 29th in college football.

Oklahoma Team Defense

In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Oklahoma’s defense is ranked 80th. Opponents, on average, attempt 36.3 passes against the Sooners. They are allowing 22.2 PPG, which places them 80th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 79th in the NCAA.

Arizona vs Oklahoma Trends

  • When playing on the road, Arizona has an ATS mark of 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Looking across Oklahoma’s ten most recent home games, they are 4-6 against the spread.
  • In the three most recent times they were the underdog, Oklahoma has put together an ATS record of 2-1.
  • Arizona is 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite.

Arizona vs Oklahoma Prediction

So far, Arizona’s offense has excelled in converting third downs. I anticipate them to continue moving the chains against Oklahoma’s defense. My choice is to go with Arizona at -3.5.

With the over/under line sitting at 62.5, my bet is to take the over. So far, Oklahoma have combined with their opponents to average 65.4 points per game, look for this game to surpass 62.5.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.