Auburn vs Ole Miss NCAA Betting Prediction

Auburn Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction 2/3/2024

The Auburn Tigers (17-4) travel to face off against the Ole Miss Rebels (18-3) on Saturday, February 3rd. This game will be played at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss in Oxford and televised on SECN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.

Auburn Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels

The Auburn Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

After winning their last game against Vanderbilt by a score of 81-54, Auburn’s record now stands at 17-4. So far this season, the Tigers have gone 6-2 in Southeastern Conference play compared to their 11-2 non-conference record.

On the road, Auburn has gone 6-4 compared to their perfect 11-0 mark at home. So far, the Tigers have been favored in 20 of their 21 games, going 17-3 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road is +12.0 compared to +20.8 at home.

As the favorite this season, Auburn has gone 13-7 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Tigers have a 7-3 ATS mark. On the road, Auburn is 6-4 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 1-2 ATS in their last 3 road games.

This season, Auburn’s over/under record is 7-14 and today’s over/under line of 148.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (150). So far, 12 of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 136 points.

The Ole Miss Rebels Are Coming Off A Win

As the Rebels prepare to host Auburn, they are 18-3 overall and 5-3 in Southeastern Conference play. Ole Miss has won three straight games, including an 86-82 victory over Mississippi State in their most recent outing. The Rebels have a perfect 14-0 record at home this season, and their average scoring margin at home is +11.9 points per game.

For the season, Ole Miss has been the underdog in six games, going 3-3 in those contests. They are 15-0 when favored, and their average scoring margin on the road is -5.0 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Ole Miss has gone 3-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Rebels are 5-5. At home, Ole Miss is 9-5 vs. the spread this year and 12-9 overall. Their ATS mark over their last 3 home games is 3-0.

Ole Miss’ over/under record for the season is 12-9, and the average scoring total in their games is 147.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 148.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (142.1). So far this year, 12 of their matchups have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 145 points.

Auburn Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Auburn offense put up 81 points against Vanderbilt. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 44.4% and made 10 threes. The team’s top scorer is Johni Broome, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 15.7, while Jaylin Williams also maintains a PPG average of 12.5 leading up to the game.

Johni Broome (F) 15.7 8.8 1.8
Jaylin Williams (F) 12.5 5.2 2.1
Chad Baker (G) 9.1 3.0 2.0

Ole Miss Offense Breakdown

Ole Miss’ offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 86 points against Mississippi State. They had an overall field goal percentage of 50.8% and made 10/13 free throws. Jaylen Murray led the team in scoring, putting up 21 points. Additionally, Matthew Murrell contributed 20 points for the Rebels.

Matthew Murrell (G) 16.7 3.3 2.5
Allen Flanigan (G) 15.0 6.8 3.1
Jaylen Murray (G) 15.0 2.6 4.1

Auburn Team Defense

The Tigers’ defense is presently ranked 37th nationally, allowing an average of 65.3 points per contest. So far, the Auburn defense is giving up an average of 9.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.2 times per game (431st).

Ole Miss Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Ole Miss defense is giving up an average of 70.7 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Mississippi State, the Bulldogs finished with a field goal percentage of 50% and a total of 82 points vs. Ole Miss.

Tigers vs Rebels Trends

  • Across their last five road contests, Auburn has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 76 points per game.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Ole Miss has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 70 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Rebels have an ATS mark of just 2-3 in their last five games. Ole Miss posted a straight up mark of 2-3 in these matchups.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Tigers have gone 7-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 9-1.

Tigers vs Rebels Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +4.5, we recommend going with the Rebels on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 148.5 and our model has the Tigers and Rebels finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.