Auburn Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Auburn Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers Prediction 2/28/2024

The Auburn Tigers (21-6) travel to face off against the Tennessee Volunteers (21-6) on Wednesday, February 28th. This game will be played at Thompson-Boling Arena in Knoxville and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Auburn Tigers vs Tennessee Volunteers

The Auburn Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

The Auburn Tigers have been dominant at home this season, going 13-1 with an average scoring margin of +19.7 points per game. However, on the road, they have been nearly as good, going 8-5 with an average scoring margin of +10.7 points per game.

Overall, Auburn has gone 21-6 this season, including a 10-4 mark in Southeastern Conference play. They have been the underdog just once this season, and that was in their most recent game, a 97-76 win over Georgia.

As the underdog, Auburn has struggled against the spread this season, going 0-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Tigers are just 3-7 vs. the spread. On the road, Auburn has gone 8-5 vs. the spread this season and they are 17-10 overall. Their ATS mark over their last 3 road games is 2-1 and their ATS record as the underdog in their last 3 games is 0-3.

This season, Auburn games have an over/under record of 11-16 and today’s over/under line of 150.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games this season (150.8). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. Over their last three games, their games have averaged 154 points compared to their season average of 150 points per game.

The Tennessee Volunteers Are Coming Off A Win

With their win over Texas A&M, Tennessee has now won four straight games, and they are 21-6 overall. At home, the Volunteers are 14-1 this season, and their average scoring margin is +21.4 points per game.

For the year, Tennessee has been favored in 23 of their 27 games, and they have gone 20-3 as the favorite. In the SEC, the Volunteers are 11-3, and they have gone 10-3 in non-conference action.

As the favorite, Tennessee has gone 12-10-1 against the spread this season. At home, the Volunteers have an ATS mark of 9-5-1. Over their last three home games, Tennessee is a perfect 3-0 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Volunteers are 6-4 ATS.

For the season, the over/under record in Tennessee games is 15-12. Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (144). So far, 16 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 with an average scoring total of 139 points.

Auburn Offense Breakdown

Auburn’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 97 points vs. Georgia. Overall, they hit 62.1% of their shots from the field and went 11/16 from the free-throw line. Johni Broome is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 16.1 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Jaylin Williams brings a PPG average of 13 into the game.

Johni Broome (F) 16.1 8.6 1.9
Jaylin Williams (F) 13.0 4.7 1.9
Chad Baker (G) 10.1 3.8 2.3

Tennessee Offense Breakdown

Tennessee recently showcased a strong offensive performance, scoring 86 points against Texas A&M. This output exceeded their season average of 80.3 points per game. The team’s scoring leader is Dalton Knecht, who holds an average of 20.1 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Jonas Aidoo is averaging 12 points per game this season.

Dalton Knecht (G) 20.1 5.0 1.9
Jonas Aidoo (F) 12.0 7.6 1.0
Zakai Zeigler (G) 10.9 2.7 5.8

Auburn Team Defense

The Tigers’ defense is presently ranked 62nd nationally, allowing an average of 67.3 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Auburn’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 38.4% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 29.5% this season.

Tennessee Team Defense

So far, the Volunteers’ defense is ranked 47th in the country at 66.6 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.3 threes per game vs. Auburn. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 30.4%.

Tigers vs Volunteers Trends

  • In their last three road games, Auburn has averaged 84 points per game while allowing 78. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Volunteers offense has averaged 77 points per game while allowing an average of 71. Tennessee posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • The last ten games that Auburn was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 0-10 straight up.
  • Tennessee has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.

Tigers vs Volunteers Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Volunteers vs. Volunteers matchup, we’re leaning towards the Volunteers at -6.5. Although our projections show the Volunteers winning 75-70, we suggest placing your bet on the Tigers for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 150.5, and our model projects the Tigers and Volunteers to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.