auburn vs maryland music city bowl prediction

Auburn vs Maryland Music City Bowl Prediction 12/30/2023

The Auburn Tigers (6-6) face off against the Maryland Terrapins (7-5) on Saturday, December 30th. This game will be played at Nissan Stadium in Nashville and televised on ABC. Maryland is coming off a win in their previous game, while Auburn is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Alabama. Kickoff is set for 2:00 ET.

Auburn Tigers vs Maryland Terrapins

The Auburn Tigers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Auburn took on Alabama in their most recent game, blowing a one point lead going into the 4th and falling 27-24. In the loss against Alabama, quarterback Payton Thorne wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 33.07 after completing 5 of 16 passes for 91 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.

The over hit in this game as the team’s combined for 51 point and the over/under line was 47.5. Auburn did cover the spread even with a straight-up loss because they were 13.5-point underdogs.

The Auburn Tigers take on the Maryland with a 6-6 record, including 3-2 on the road and 2-4 at home.

Auburn’s average scoring differential for the season is +5.3 leading to an ATS mark of 6-5. The Tigers have been favored five times and the underdog in six games This season, Auburn has posted an over/under record of 5-6 through 12 games. On average their games have combined for 49.2 points.

The Maryland Terrapins Are Coming Off A Win

Maryland is coming of a 42-24 win over Rutgers and managed to make an impressive comeback after trailing 35-28 at the half. With Taulia Tagovailoa leading the way, he recorded a passer rating of 133.94 by accumulating 361 passing yards against Rutgers. During the game, he made 31 passing attempts and completed 77.4% of them.

Going into the game, Maryland was favored by 2.5 and went on to cover the spread. The team’s combined 66 points surpassed the over/under line of 45.5.

So far, the Maryland Terrapins are 7-5, including going 3-2 on the road and 3-3 at home.

Maryland’s average scoring differential for the season is +6.3 leading to an ATS mark of 6-5. The Terrapins have been favored eight times and the underdog in three games After 12 games, the average over/under line in Maryland’s matches stands at 49.7 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 52.8 points, resulting in an OU record of 7-4.

Auburn Offense Breakdown

Heading into their matchup vs. Maryland, the Tigers’ offense is averaging 200.8 rushing yards per game, along with 5 yards per attempt. They currently hold the 16th rank in rushing yards and 123rd rank in passing yards, amassing an average of 157.1 yards per game. In terms of scoring, Auburn is at 27.2 points per game, which is 57th in the NCAA.

Leading the team in passing yards is Payton Thorne with 1671 yards. In addition, he is 2nd on the team in rushing yards. This season, he’s carried the ball 125 times for 520 yards while boasting a completion rate of 62.6%.

Maryland Offense Breakdown

On the ground, the Terrapins are 90th in college football at 348 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 108.9 (114th). So far, they have turned to the passing game 37.6 and have a per game average of 284.8. Overall, they are 48th in points (29.6 PPG).

So far this season, Taulia Tagovailoa has thrown for 3377 yards, averaging 11.6 per completion. His completion percentage is 66.4%, and he’s registered 25 touchdowns.

Auburn Team Defense

The Tigers defense will take the field with 27 sacks and are 1st QB hurries. When it comes to points allowed, they’re at 21.9 points per game (77th). Against the pass, the team is 50th in the NCAA, allowing 201.7 passing yards per game. Additionally, Auburn’s run defense has 161.3 rushing yards per contest.

Maryland Team Defense

The Terrapins’ defense has given up 130.8 rushing yards per game this season, which is 167th. Opponents are recording an average of 207.3 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 78.3 when playing against Maryland. In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 70th in NCAA rankings.

Auburn vs Maryland Trends

  • On the road, Auburn has gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread.
  • Looking across Maryland’s three most recent home games, they are 2-1 against the spread.
  • Terrapins is 3-2 in their last five games as underdogs.
  • Auburn is 5-5 in their last ten games as the favorite.

Auburn vs Maryland Prediction

For this matchup, I’m liking Auburn to cover at -2.5. Auburn is coming off a game in which they ran the ball well vs. Alabama and should carry that momentum in this week’s game. Before kickoff i’ll be taking Auburn on the spread.

I’m taking the over with the over/under line set at 49.5. So far this season, games involving Maryland have generated an average combined score of 52.8 points, and I believe this game will exceed 49.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.