Baylor Bears vs Texas Tech Red Raiders NCAAB Betting Prediction

Baylor Bears vs Texas Tech Red Raiders Prediction 3/9/2024

The Baylor Bears (22-8) travel to face off against the Texas Tech Red Raiders (21-9) on Saturday, March 9th. This game will be played at United Supermarkets Arena in Lubbock and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.

Baylor Bears vs Texas Tech Red Raiders

The Baylor Bears Are Coming Off A Win

So far this season, Baylor has been a much better team at home than on the road. In fact, they are 16-1 at home compared to just 5-6 on the road. Over their last 10 games away from home, they have gone just 4-6.

As for their record as the underdog, they are 2-5 this season, and they have been the underdog in seven of their 30 games. Their average scoring margin on the road is just +0.2 points per game.

As the underdog this season, Baylor has gone 4-3 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bears have an ATS mark of 4-6. On the road this year, Baylor is 6-5 vs. the spread and they have gone 2-1 in their last 3 road games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 148 is right in line with the average over/under line in Baylor’s games this season (147.9). So far, their over/under record is 15-13. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points, which is right in line with their season average of 152.7 points per game. Over their last 10 games, their OU record is 5-5.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, Texas Tech has been dominant, going 14-2 with an average scoring margin of +12.9. Over their last 10 home games, the Red Raiders have posted an impressive 8-2 record.

Overall, Texas Tech has gone 21-9, including a 10-7 mark in Big 12 play. As the favorite, the Red Raiders are 18-2 compared to 3-7 as the underdog.

As the favorite this year, Texas Tech has gone 10-10 against the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 5-5 vs. the spread. Overall, the Red Raiders have an ATS record of 13-16-1 this season.

This season, the over/under record for Texas Tech games is 18-12. Today’s over/under line of 148 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (140.1). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 144 points.

Baylor Offense Breakdown

Baylor finished with 93 points in their game against Texas. This total surpasses their season-average of 82 points per game. Leading the team in scoring was Jalen Bridges with 32 points. RayJ Dennis also added 16 points for the Bears.

Ja’Kobe Walter (G) 14.7 4.5 1.6
RayJ Dennis (G) 13.5 3.9 6.8
Jalen Bridges (F) 11.9 5.4 1.5

Texas Tech Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Red Raiders’ offense concluded with 75 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.9 points per contest. Pop Isaacs led the scoring for the Red Raiders, contributing 19 points. Additionally, Darrion Williams chipped in with 18 points.

Pop Isaacs (G) 15.9 3.2 3.6
Joe Toussaint (G) 12.3 2.6 4.3
Darrion Williams (G) 11.4 7.5 2.4

Baylor Team Defense

Baylor’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 71.3 points per game. In today’s game vs. Texas Tech, the Baylor defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Baylor made 34 free-throws vs. the Bears.

Texas Tech Team Defense

The Red Raiders’ defense is presently ranked 93rd nationally, allowing an average of 69.0 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Texas Tech’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 33.0% this season.

Bears vs Red Raiders Trends

  • Baylor has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 73 points per game while allowing 69. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • Although Texas Tech has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-4-1. The team averaged 73 points per game in these games.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Bears have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
  • Texas Tech has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Bears vs Red Raiders Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Red Raiders, with a final score of 76-69, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Red Raiders at -1.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 148, and our model projects the Bears and Red Raiders to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.