The Boise State Broncos (21-9) travel to face off against the San Diego State Aztecs (22-8) on Friday, March 8th. This game will be played at Viejas Arena in San Diego and televised on FS1. Both Boise State and San Diego State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 10:00 ET.
Boise State Broncos vs San Diego State Aztecs
The Boise State Broncos Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Boise State enters this matchup as a 6.5-point underdog, and they have gone 5-5 in 10 games as the underdog this season. On the road, the Broncos are 7-5 this season, and they are coming off a 76-66 loss to Nevada.
For the year, Boise State has gone 21-9, and their average scoring margin on the road is +1.8. Over their last 10 road games, the Broncos have gone 7-3.
As the underdog this season, Boise State has gone 5-5 vs. the spread. On the road, the Broncos are 6-6 ATS this year and 16-13 overall. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Boise State is 5-5 ATS.
Boise State’s over/under record this season is 16-13, and today’s line of 137.5 is lower than their average over/under line of 139.6. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 145 points.
The San Diego State Aztecs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
San Diego State has been dominant at home this season, going 14-0 with an average scoring margin of +12.9 points per game. They are also 18-3 as the favorite this season, and they have won their last 10 games at home.
Overall, the Aztecs have gone 22-8 this season, including an 11-6 record in Mountain West Conference play. In their last game, they lost to UNLV by a score of 62-58.
San Diego State has an ATS record of 12-16 this season and they are 8-6 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Aztecs have gone 6-4 ATS.
This season, the over/under record for San Diego State games is 14-14 and today’s over/under line of 137.5 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (141.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 122 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 4-6.
Boise State Offense Breakdown
In their most recent game, the Boise State offense put up just 66 points vs. the Nevada Wolf Pack. Overall, they are now averaging 76 points per game which is 126th in the country. For the season, the Boise State offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 45%. So far, they have hit 53% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 7.8 made three’s per contest.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tyson Degenhart (F) | 16.9 | 5.9 | 1.6 |
| Chibuzo Agbo (G) | 13.8 | 5.1 | 0.8 |
| O’Mar Stanley (F) | 13.3 | 6.4 | 1.5 |
San Diego State Offense Breakdown
In their most recent game, the San Diego State offense put up just 58 points vs. the UNLV Runnin’ Rebels. Overall, they are now averaging 74.6 points per game which is 168th in the country. Jaedon LeDee is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 20.5 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Reese Waters brings a PPG average of 10.7 into the game.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jaedon LeDee (F) | 20.5 | 8.3 | 1.4 |
| Reese Waters (G) | 10.7 | 3.7 | 1.3 |
| Micah Parrish (G) | 9.7 | 4.1 | 1.9 |
Boise State Team Defense
Currently, the Broncos’ defense holds the 49th rank in the nation, allowing 66.9 points per game. Boise State’s three-point defense is currently 50th in the country at 5.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.7% of their shots vs. Boise State.
San Diego State Team Defense
In the current season, the San Diego State defense has excelled, sitting 31st in the nation by allowing 65.8 points per game. San Diego State’s three-point defense is currently 90th in the country at 6.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.8% of their shots vs. San Diego State.
Broncos vs Aztecs Trends
- In their last five road games, Boise State has averaged 76 points per game while allowing 70 . The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
- In their last three games at home, the Aztecs have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 64 points per game in these contests.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Boise State has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 5-5 straight up.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Aztecs have a straight up record of 2-1, while going 1-2 against the spread.
Broncos vs Aztecs Prediction
In this Aztecs vs. Aztecs matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Aztecs at -6.5. While we project the Aztecs to win 75-70, our recommendation is to bet on the Broncos for the point-spread.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 137.5 and given that our model is projecting 145 points between the teams, we like the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 8, 2024 Boise State Broncos, San Diego State Aztecs