The Bowling Green Falcons (7-5) face off against the Minnesota Golden Gophers (5-7) on Tuesday, December 26th. This game will be played at Ford Field in Detroit and televised on ESPN. Bowling Green is coming off a win in their previous game, while Minnesota is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Wisconsin. Kickoff is set for 2:00 ET.
Bowling Green Falcons vs Minnesota Golden Gophers
The Bowling Green Falcons Are Coming Off A Win
Most recently, Bowling Green faced off with Western Michigan and picked up an easy 34-10 win. In the win vs. Western Michigan, quarterback Connor Bazelak concluded with a QB rating of 120.19, connecting on 18 of 26 passes for 217 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.
Looking at the point-spread for this game, Bowling Green covered as 2.5-point favorites. While on the over/under, the betting line was 51.5 at game time, resulting in a hit for the under.
This season, the Bowling Green Falcons are currently 7-5. So far this season, they have played seven road games and four at home.
Bowling Green’s average scoring differential for the season is +2.8 leading to an ATS mark of 7-4. The Falcons have been favored four times and the underdog in seven games This season, Bowling Green has an over/under record of 7-4. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 49.8 points, with the typical over/under line being 45.9 points.
The Minnesota Golden Gophers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
In the Golden Gophers’ 28-14 loss to Wisconsin, the Golden Gophers jumped out to an early 7-0 in the first quarter but were unable to ride that momentum to a win. In the loss against Wisconsin, quarterback Athan Kaliakmanis wrapped up the game with a QB rating of 71.58 after completing 16 of 28 passes for 167 yards. He also added one touchdown to his performance.
Against the spread, Minnesota was not able to cover as 2.5-point underdogs. On the over/under, the line was 46 going into the game resulting in the under hitting.
With a 5-7 record, the Minnesota Golden Gophers take on Bowling Green. Their road record so far is (1-3) and at home (4-3).
Against the spread, Minnesota has gone 3-8 this season. The Golden Gophers have been favored six times compared to five games as the underdog. Through 12 games, the average over/under line in Minnesota’s games is 44.8 points. Their games have averaged a combined 47.1 points leading to an OU record of 4-7.
Bowling Green Offense Breakdown
Bowling Green comes into the game with an offense averaging 26.3, which places them at 60th in the NCAA rankings. Their passing game has them ranked 107th nationally, with an average of 186.1 passing yards. In the rushing department, they’re 86th in the nation, with 403 rushing attempts per game for the season.
Connor Bazelak leads the team in passing yards this season with 1709. He’s averaging 11.5 per completion and holds a 61.2% completion rate, having thrown 11 touchdowns.
Minnesota Offense Breakdown
On the ground, the Golden Gophers are 36th in college football at 456 attempts per game. This has led to an average of 150.5 (75th). So far, they have turned to the passing game 24.6 and have a per game average of 153.2. Overall, they are 91st in points (20.2 PPG).
So far this season, Athan Kaliakmanis has thrown for 1838 yards, averaging 11.8 per completion. His completion percentage is 53.1%, and he’s registered 14 touchdowns.
Bowling Green Team Defense
Ranked 167th in passing yards allowed per game, Bowling Green’s defense gets ready to take on Minnesota. Opponents have attempted an average of 26.9 passes per game against the Falcons. They’re allowing 23.5 points per contest, placing them 85th in college football. Their rush defense ranks 59th in the NCAA.
Minnesota Team Defense
Minnesota’s defense ranks 104th in points allowed, with 26.9 points given up per game. Teams have been averaging 219.2 passing yards against them (85th nationally). On the ground, they’ve conceded 154.9 rushing yards, putting them 91st in college football.
Bowling Green vs Minnesota Trends
- Bowling Green’s five most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 4-1 against the spread.
- Minnesota is 1-2 ATS in their last home games.
- In the five most recent times they were the underdog, Minnesota has put together an ATS record of 1-4.
- Bowling Green are 2-1 in their last three games as favorites.
Bowling Green’s secondary did a good job limiting Wisconsin’s passing game in their previous game. Despite being 5.5-point underdogs at away, I’m confident in their ability to cover against Minnesota.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 37.5 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 39 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.