Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars NCAAB Betting Prediction

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars Prediction 2/27/2024

The Cincinnati Bearcats (16-11) travel to face off against the Houston Cougars (24-3) on Tuesday, February 27th. This game will be played at Fertitta Center in Houston and televised on ESPN2. Houston is coming off a win in their previous game, while Cincinnati is looking to get back on track from a loss to the TCU. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Cincinnati Bearcats vs Houston Cougars

The Cincinnati Bearcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Today, Cincinnati enters as a 13.5-point underdog against Houston. So far this season, they have gone 3-5 when considered the underdog. Over their last 10 games, the Bearcats have gone 4-6 on the road.

Over their last three games, Cincinnati has gone 2-1 on the road, and over their previous five, they have gone 2-3. They come into this game with a 16-11 record, and in their last game, they lost to TCU by a score of 75-57.

As the underdog this season, Cincinnati has a solid 5-2-1 record vs. the spread. On the road, they are 5-5 ATS this year and 12-14-1 overall. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Bearcats have gone 5-4-1 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Cincinnati games is 13-14. The average over/under line in their games is 144.7 and the average scoring total is 142.9. Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average scoring total in their games this year. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 145.

The Houston Cougars Are Coming Off A Win

With a 16-0 record at home this season, Houston will look to extend their home win streak to 17 games when they take on Cincinnati. The Cougars have gone 10-0 in their last 10 home games, and they have an average scoring margin of +28.0 points per game at home compared to +2.0 on the road.

Overall, Houston has gone 24-3 this season, and they are currently riding a four-game win streak. They have been favored in 24 of their 27 games, and they have gone 22-2 in those contests.

Against the spread, Houston has a record of 12-11-2 this season, including a mark of 10-5-1 at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cougars are 5-3-2 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 132.5 is lower than the average over/under line of 133 in Houston’s games this season. So far, 14 of their games have had a higher over/under line than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 146 points.

Cincinnati Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Cincinnati offense ended with 57 points against TCU. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 41.5% and made 5 threes. Day Day Thomas was the leading scorer for the Bearcats, putting up 13 points. In addition, Simas Lukosius contributed 9 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Daniel Skillings (G) 12.1 6.3 1.5
Day Day Thomas (G) 10.4 2.3 3.0
John Newman III (F) 9.3 5.3 1.6

Houston Offense Breakdown

The Cougars’ offense finished with 73 points in their previous game, mirroring their current average of 74.2 points per contest. The top scorer for the Cougars was Jamal Shead with 26 points, while Emanuel Sharp also chipped in with 20 points.

Name PPG REB AST
LJ Cryer (G) 15.0 2.4 1.9
Jamal Shead (G) 13.3 3.9 5.9
Emanuel Sharp (G) 12.8 3.8 0.9

Cincinnati Team Defense

At present, the Bearcats’ defense is nationally ranked 79th, allowing 67.9 points per game. The Cincinnati defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 75 points and allowed TCU to connect on 9 threes.

Houston Team Defense

So far, the Cougars’ defense is ranked 1st in the country at 56.1 points per contest. Against Iowa State in their most recent game, the Houston defense gave up a total of 65 points while allowing Iowa State to hit 42% of their shots.

Bearcats vs Cougars Trends

  • Cincinnati has played well in their previous three road games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 69 points per game while allowing 73. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Although Houston has a straight up record of 2-1 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 1-1-1. The team averaged 71 points per game in these games.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Bearcats have gone 3-1-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Cougars have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1-2 in these scenarios.

Bearcats vs Cougars Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Cougars vs. Cougars matchup, we’re leaning towards the Cougars at -13.5. Although our projections show the Cougars winning 74-69, we suggest placing your bet on the Bearcats for the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 132.5, and our model projects the Bearcats and Cougars to reach a combined total of 143 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.