Colgate Raiders vs Baylor Bears NCAAB Betting Prediction

Colgate Raiders vs Baylor Bears Prediction 3/22/2024

The Colgate Raiders (24-9) travel to face off against the Baylor Bears (22-9) on Friday, March 22nd. This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis and televised on truT. Colgate is coming off a win in their previous game, while Baylor is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Iowa State. Tip-off is set for 12:40 ET.

Colgate Raiders vs Baylor Bears

The Colgate Raiders Are Coming Off A Win

Colgate enters this game as the underdog, as they have been in 7 games this season, going 1-6 in those matchups. They have been excellent on the road this season, going 9-6, and they have won their last 5 games.

On the road, the Raiders have been slightly worse compared to their season average, as they have an average scoring margin of -0.1 points per game. So far, they have gone 18-2 in Patriot League play.

Colgate has an ATS record of 16-14-2 this season, including a mark of 7-6-2 on the road. As the underdog, the Raiders have gone just 2-4-1 vs. the spread this year and are 3-6-1 in their last 10 games as the underdog. Over their last three road games, Colgate has an ATS record of 1-2 and they are 5-4-1 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

Colgate’s over/under record this season is 12-19-1 and today’s line of 137.5 is right in line with the average over/under line in their games (139.6). So far, 16 of their games have had a higher over/under line than 137.5, and today’s line is right in line with the average scoring in their games (134.4). In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 135 points.

The Baylor Bears Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After losing their last two games, Baylor will look to get back on track as they host Colgate. On the season, Baylor is 22-9, including a 17-2 record at home.

So far, the Bears have been favored in 22 of their 31 games, going 20-2 in those games. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +16.0 points per game.

As the favorite this season, Baylor has an ATS record of 15-6-1. At home, their ATS mark is 13-5-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears are 6-3-1 vs. the spread.

This season, Baylor games have an over/under record of 18-15 and today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (146.4). In their last three games, their over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 136 points.

Colgate Offense Breakdown

The Colgate offense is coming off a game in which they scored 74 points vs. Lehigh. Overall their field goal percentage was 55.6% while connecting on 4 threes. Brady Cummins was the leading scorer for the Raiders, putting up 19 points. In addition, Braeden Smith contributed 15 points.

Braeden Smith (G) 12.5 5.5 5.8
Keegan Records (F) 10.9 6.2 1.2
Ryan Moffatt (F) 10.4 4.4 1.6

Baylor Offense Breakdown

Compared to their season average of 80.5 points per game, Baylor struggled in their previous game. Against Iowa State, the Bears scored 62 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 39%. Jalen Bridges was the leading scorer for the Bears, putting up 20 points. In addition, Yves Missi contributed 14 points.

Ja’Kobe Walter (G) 14.2 4.4 1.5
RayJ Dennis (G) 13.3 3.8 6.8
Jalen Bridges (F) 11.9 5.7 1.4

Colgate Team Defense

So far, the Raiders’ defense is ranked 12th in the country at 63.2 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.6 threes per game vs. Baylor. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 29.2%.

Baylor Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Baylor defense is giving up an average of 71.4 points per contest. In their most recent game, the Baylor defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Iowa State knocked down 10 three-pointers on their way to 76 points.

Raiders vs Bears Trends

  • Colgate has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 5-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 71 points per game while allowing 61. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Baylor has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 64 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Raiders have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 0-2-1.
  • Baylor has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Raiders vs Bears Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Bears vs. Bears game, we suggest taking the Bears at -13.5. Even though our predictions have the Bears winning 77-69, we see the Raiders as the better choice on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 137.5 and given that our model is projecting 146 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.