Colorado Buffaloes vs Boise State NCAAB Betting Prediction

Colorado Buffaloes vs Boise State Prediction 3/20/2024

The Colorado Buffaloes (22-9) travel to face off against the Boise State Broncos (22-9) on Wednesday, March 20th. This game will be played at UD Arena in Dayton and televised on truT. Both Colorado and Boise State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:10 ET.

Colorado Buffaloes vs Boise State Broncos

The Colorado Buffaloes Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Colorado has been a much better team at home this season, going 18-2 compared to 7-8 on the road. Their average scoring margin is +15.4 at home compared to -1.7 on the road. The Buffaloes have been the favorite in 29 of their 31 games, going 23-6 in those games. They have gone 5-5 in their last 10 road games and are coming off a 75-68 loss to Oregon.

So far this season, Colorado has a record of 22-9. In Pac-12 play, they have gone 16-8. They have a non-conference record of 6-1. Overall, they have won five straight road games.

Colorado has been right around .500 vs. the spread this season at 17-17-1. On the road, the Buffaloes are 6-9 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 road games, Colorado is 5-5 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Colorado games is 20-15. Today’s over/under line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (148.8). In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 127 points.

The Boise State Broncos Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Boise State enters this game as a 2.5-point underdog at home against Colorado. The Broncos have been the underdog in 12 of their 31 games this season, going 6-6 in those games. Overall, Boise State has a record of 22-9, including a mark of 13-5 at home.

Over their last 10 games at home, the Broncos are 6-4, and they are coming off a 76-66 loss to New Mexico. Boise State’s average scoring margin at home this season is +11.5, compared to +1.8 on the road.

As the underdog this season, Boise State has gone 6-6 vs. the spread. Their overall ATS mark is 17-14. At home, the Broncos are 10-8 vs. the spread this year and they have gone just 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three home games.

Boise State’s over/under record this season is 17-14 and today’s line of 139.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (139.9). So far, 13 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points compared to their season average of 143.3 points per game.

Colorado Offense Breakdown

Compared to their season average of 79.3 points per game, Colorado struggled in their previous game. Against Oregon, the Buffaloes scored 68 points while finishing with a field goal percentage of 41.7%. In terms of three-point shooting, the Buffaloes offense has been good from outside, hitting 39% of their three-pointers on an average of 17.5 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 49%.

KJ Simpson (G) 19.6 5.7 4.9
Tristan Da Silva (F) 15.8 5.2 2.4
J’vonne Hadley (G) 11.9 6.1 2.3

Boise State Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Boise State offense put up just 66 points vs. the New Mexico Lobos. Overall, they are now averaging 75.8 points per game which is 126th in the country. The team’s top scorer is Tyson Degenhart, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 17, while Chibuzo Agbo also maintains a PPG average of 13.6 leading up to the game.

Tyson Degenhart (F) 17.0 6.2 1.5
Chibuzo Agbo (G) 13.6 5.1 0.8
O’Mar Stanley (F) 13.0 6.4 1.5

Colorado Team Defense

At this time, the Buffaloes’ defense is positioned 132nd in the country, permitting 70.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Colorado’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.5% this season.

Boise State Team Defense

So far this season, the Boise State defense has been performing well, ranking 61st in the country at 67.5 points allowed per contest. The Boise State defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 76 points and allowed New Mexico to connect on 10 threes.

Buffaloes vs Broncos Trends

  • The Buffaloes are 3-0 ATS in their three last road games and 3-0 straight-up.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Boise State has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 74 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Broncos have a straight up record of 2-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-3.
  • As the betting favorite, the Buffaloes have an ATS record of 2-1 in their last three games. In these matchups, their straight up record was 2-1.

Buffaloes vs Broncos Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +2.5, we recommend going with the Broncos on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 139.5 and given that our model is projecting 145 points between the teams, we like the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.