NFL Week 14 Bets by Chris Walker Crush Your Bookie Picks
The NFL continues to be good to us. New England kept us in the win column last week to move our season record to 59-46-2. We’ve got a pretty good slate of games for week 14 as the season continues to crescendo to the final week of the season. Nothing but winners here. Let’s ride.
Seattle Seahawks -9.5 vs. Houston Texans
Why anyone would bet on Houston Texans at this point in the season is beyond me. They have essentially given up on the season and it appears to be a one-and-done for first year head coach David Culley. It is rumored that rookie QB Davis MIlls will be getting the start on Sunday. In his seven starts this year, he has only thrown seven touchdowns and eight interceptions. Their offense may be awful, but somehow their defense has managed to be worse. They are ranked 30th in the league in total defense and are responsible for the team having a -159 point differential on the year. Seattle has not looked great this year, but the offense has been decent since Wilson’s return from injury. Pete Carroll might be coaching for his job so he could be looking to win big here. I really don’t see how this doesn’t end up in a blowout.
Atlanta Falcons +2.5 vs. Carolina Panthers
Carolina’s once promising season has officially gone down the toilet. This team is an absolute mess right now and things may have gotten worse during their bye week when they parted ways with OC Joe Brady. Now Brady was by no means an offensive guru, but assigning a new play caller to an offense who doesn’t have a quarterback OR running back probably won’t make things better. Christian McCaffery is out for the year and Cam has been absolutely terrible in his second stint with the Panthers. Atlanta’s defense is competent enough to stop a team with no weapons and their offense has been pretty good all year. Atlanta is not phased by going on the road this year. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games away from home. Carolina, on the other hand, is awful at home. They have only covered once in their last five home games. The Panthers are in shambles so I’ll take the free points with a better Atlanta team.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers -3.5 vs. Buffalo Bills
I really wanted to bet on Buffalo this week. They will be fighting for their season in this game, but Tampa Bay is just too good. The Bucs have gotten over their mini-skid and are looking for their fourth win in a row. If this game was in Buffalo, I’d probably side with the Bills. But Tampa has been a machine in their own building this year. The Buccaneers have four wins by at least 20 points this season, all of which have come in Tampa Bay. Tom Brady is also fantastic at home against one-score spreads at home. He is 35-14-6 ATS at home when the spread is -7 or smaller. I’m not saying this will be a blowout, but I just don’t see how Buffalo can hang with this team. The Bills can’t run the ball so that will leave Josh Allen to try to go blow-for-blow with Tom Brady. He is closing in on his fourth MVP award and has plenty of weapons to work with. The Bills Tre’davious White-less defense will have a hard time covering Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, and Rob Gronkowski. It feels like Tampa is starting to shift into playoff-mode. This may be the nail in the coffin for Buffalo’s season. I’m rolling with the Bucs to cover at home.
The Rest of the Bunch:
Baltimore Ravens +3 vs. Cleveland Browns Las Vegas Raiders +10 vs. KC Chiefs Denver Broncos vs. Detroit Lions U42 Green Bay Packers -12 vs. Chicago Bears Arizona Cardinals -2 vs. LA Rams
We’re going for another profitable weekend. I look at this card and see nothing but winners. Something tells me your bookie will be forced to embrace the giving spirit of the Holiday season.
* All odds provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.