The Dayton Flyers (25-7) travel to face off against the Arizona Wildcats (26-8) on Saturday, March 23rd. This game will be played at Delta Center in Salt Lake City and televised on CBS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 12:00 ET.
Dayton Flyers vs Arizona Wildcats
The Dayton Flyers Are Coming Off A Win
Dayton comes into this game with a record of 25-7 and a road record of 7-6. Their average scoring margin on the road is +2.8 points per game compared to +12.0 points per game at home. They have been the underdog in five games this season and have a record of 3-2 in those games.
Over their last 10 road games, the Flyers have gone 6-4. In their most recent game, they defeated Nevada by a score of 63-60. So far this season, Dayton has been the underdog in five games and has a record of 3-2 in those contests.
Against the spread this season, Dayton has a record of 16-15-1. Their ATS record as the underdog is 3-1-1, and their road ATS mark is 7-5-1. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Flyers are 5-4-1 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for Dayton games is 18-13-1 with an average scoring total of 140.5 points. Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (137). So far, 24 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 with an average scoring total of 140 points.
The Arizona Wildcats Are Coming Off A Win
Arizona enters this game with a record of 26-8, including a mark of 18-3 at home. The Wildcats are coming off an 85-65 win over Long Beach State and have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.
For the season, Arizona has gone 24-9 when favored, and they are favored in this one by 9.5 points. On the year, the Wildcats have an average scoring margin of +22.4 at home, compared to +4.3 on the road.
Arizona has an ATS record of 21-13-1 this season and they are 13-7-1 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats are 5-4-1 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for Arizona games is 15-19-1. So far, the average over/under line in their games is 158.1 and their matchups have averaged 158.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is lower than the average point total in their games this year. Over their last three games, the OU record is 0-3 and their matchups have averaged 131 points during this stretch.
Dayton Offense Breakdown
In their most recent game, the Dayton offense put up just 63 points vs. the Nevada Wolf Pack. Overall, they are now averaging 74.7 points per game which is 175th in the country. Offensively, the Flyers have a season long field goal percentage of 47%, which is 65th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 34th in percentage and 25th in three-pointers made.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| DaRon Holmes II (F) | 20.4 | 8.4 | 2.6 |
| Nate Santos (F) | 12.0 | 6.4 | 1.5 |
| Koby Brea (G) | 10.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 |
Arizona Offense Breakdown
In their latest game, Arizona offense put up 85 points against Long Beach State. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 41.7% and made 13 threes. Kylan Boswell was the leading scorer for the Wildcats, putting up 20 points. In addition, Caleb Love contributed 18 points.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Love (G) | 18.1 | 4.7 | 3.4 |
| Oumar Ballo (C) | 13.1 | 10.1 | 0.8 |
| Pelle Larsson (G) | 12.8 | 4.1 | 3.6 |
Dayton Team Defense
In the current season, the Dayton defense has excelled, sitting 33rd in the nation by allowing 66.1 points per game. Dayton’s three-point defense is currently 198th in the country at 7.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.7% of their shots vs. Dayton.
Arizona Team Defense
At this time, the Wildcats’ defense is positioned 179th in the country, permitting 71.9 points per game. So far, the Arizona defense is giving up an average of 8.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.8 times per game (598th).
Flyers vs Wildcats Trends
- Through their last ten road games, Dayton has an ATS record of just 6-4. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 71 points per game.
- In their last three home games, Arizona has averaged 79 points per game while allowing 70. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
- The last ten games that Dayton was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-4-1 while going 4-6 straight up.
- Over the team’s last five games as the favorite, the Wildcats struggled vs the spread going just 2-2-1. However, they still had a straight up mark of 3-2.
Flyers vs Wildcats Prediction
For a point-spread wager in this Wildcats vs. Wildcats game, we suggest taking the Wildcats at -9.5. Even though our predictions have the Wildcats winning 73-72, we see the Flyers as the better choice on the point-spread.
As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 149.5, and our model projects the Flyers and Wildcats to reach a combined total of 145 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 22, 2024 Arizona Wildcats, Dayton Flyers