Dayton Flyers vs George Mason Patriots NCAAB Betting Prediction

Dayton Flyers vs George Mason Patriots Prediction 2/21/2024

The Dayton Flyers (21-4) travel to face off against the George Mason Patriots (17-8) on Wednesday, February 21st. This game will be played at EagleBank Arena in Fairfax and televised on ESPN+. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Dayton Flyers vs George Mason Patriots

The Dayton Flyers Are Coming Off A Win

Dayton is coming off a 78-70 win over Fordham, and they are 21-4 overall this season. They have won two games in a row and are 11-2 in Atlantic 10 play. On the road, the Flyers have gone 6-4 this season, and they have a scoring margin of +2.9 points per game.

So far this season, Dayton has been favored in 21 of their 25 games, going 19-2 in those contests. For the year, they have an average scoring margin of +14.3 points per game at home, where they are a perfect 15-0.

Against the spread, Dayton is 13-11-1 this season. On the road, the Flyers have an ATS mark of 6-3-1. As the favorite, Dayton is 11-10 vs. the spread this year. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Flyers have gone 5-5 ATS.

Dayton’s over/under record for the season is 13-11-1, and today’s over/under line of 134 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this year (136.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 125 points, which is lower than the season average of 138.3 points per game. So far, nine of their games have finished with fewer than 134 points.

The George Mason Patriots Are Coming Off A Win

George Mason will be playing at home against Dayton, and they are 11-3 at home this season. Their average scoring margin at home is +10.7 points per game, and they have gone 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.

Overall, the Patriots are 17-8 this season and have won two games in a row. In their last game, they defeated George Washington by a score of 90-67.

George Mason’s ATS record this season is 14-9-1, including a mark of 7-6-1 at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Patriots are 7-3 vs. the spread. At home, their ATS record vs. the spread is 4-5 over their last 10 games.

George Mason’s over/under record this season sits at 13-11, and today’s line of 134 is lower than the average over/under line in their games this season (140.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points.

Dayton Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Dayton offense put up 78 points against Fordham. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 57.4% and made 7 threes. The top scorer for the Flyers was DaRon Holmes II with 29 points, while Javon Bennett also chipped in with 14 points.

DaRon Holmes II (F) 20.0 8.0 2.5
Nate Santos (F) 12.1 6.6 1.5
Koby Brea (G) 10.4 3.9 1.0

George Mason Offense Breakdown

The George Mason offense is coming off a game where they scored 90 points against George Washington. They posted a field goal percentage of 56.7% and connected on 10 threes. Offensively, the Patriots have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 94th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 101st in percentage and 203rd in three-pointers made.

Keyshawn Hall (G) 17.8 8.7 1.6
Darius Maddox (G) 13.8 3.5 1.8
Amari Kelly (F) 12.0 6.2 1.2

Dayton Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Dayton defense is giving up an average of 64.3 points per contest. Against Fordham in their most recent game, the Dayton defense gave up a total of 70 points while allowing Fordham to hit 57% of their shots.

George Mason Team Defense

George Mason’s defense has been playing well, ranking 62nd nationally, with 67.2 points allowed per game. In their previous game vs. George Washington, the Revolutionaries finished with a field goal percentage of 56% and a total of 67 points vs. George Mason.

Flyers vs Patriots Trends

  • Across the Flyers last three road games, the team averaged 68 points per game while allowing 65. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, George Mason has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 65 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, George Mason has an ATS mark of 3-0 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Flyers have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 2-3.

Flyers vs Patriots Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +2.5, we recommend going with the Patriots on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 134, and our model predicts the Flyers and Patriots to score a combined 142 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.