The Dayton Flyers (16-2) travel to face off against the Richmond Spiders (14-5) on Saturday, January 27th. This game will be played at Robins Center in Richmond and televised on CBSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.
Dayton Flyers vs Richmond Spiders
The Dayton Flyers Are Coming Off A Win
Dayton heads into this road game with Richmond as the favorite, and they have been the favorite in 14 of their 18 games this season. So far, the Flyers have been perfect as the favorite, going 14-0.
On the road, Dayton has gone 5-2 this season, and they have a +3.0 average scoring margin away from home. Over their last 10 road games, the Flyers are 6-4, and they have won their last four games on the road.
Against the spread, Dayton has a record of 10-7-1 this season. On the road, the Flyers are 5-1-1 vs. the spread and they have gone 3-0 ATS in their last three road games. As the favorite, Dayton has an ATS mark of 8-6 this year and they are 2-1 ATS in their last three games as the favorite.
Today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average scoring total in Dayton’s games this season (137.9). So far, 9 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2.
The Richmond Spiders Are Coming Off A Win
Richmond comes into this game as the underdog, something they have been in 8 of their 19 games this season. They have gone 3-5 in those games, and overall, they are 14-5 on the year. The Spiders have won 8 straight games, and they are a perfect 5-0 in Atlantic 10 play.
At home, Richmond has been nearly unbeatable, going 10-1 on the year. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1, and their average scoring margin at home is +14.9 points per game. In their last game, they beat George Washington 82-74.
As the underdog, Richmond has gone 5-3 vs. the spread this season. They have an overall ATS record of 13-4 and have gone 10-1 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Spiders have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 135.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Richmond’s games this year (140.7). This year, their over/under record is 8-8-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 137.8 points. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 137 points.
Dayton Offense Breakdown
Coming off their recent game, the Dayton offense tallied 66 points in a matchup against La Salle. Their field goal percentage for the game was 47.4%, and they made 5 threes. In terms of offense, the Flyers have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, putting them 70th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 36th in percentage and 24th in three-pointers made.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| DaRon Holmes II (F) | 19.6 | 7.6 | 2.7 |
| Nate Santos (F) | 11.4 | 6.8 | 1.4 |
| Koby Brea (G) | 10.7 | 3.6 | 1.3 |
Richmond Offense Breakdown
Richmond’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 82 points against George Washington. They had an overall field goal percentage of 45% and made 16/20 free throws. Jordan King is leading the team in scoring at 19.1 points per contest. Neal Quinn has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 13 going into the game.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan King (G) | 19.1 | 4.3 | 2.4 |
| Neal Quinn (C) | 13.0 | 5.9 | 3.7 |
| Isaiah Bigelow (F) | 11.7 | 6.5 | 0.7 |
Dayton Team Defense
At this time, the Flyers’ defense is positioned 19th in the country, permitting 63.8 points per game. In their previous game vs. La Salle, the Explorers finished with a field goal percentage of 35% and a total of 54 points vs. Dayton.
Richmond Team Defense
Coming into today’s game, the Richmond defense is giving up an average of 64.9 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Dayton, the Richmond defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Richmond made 16 free-throws vs. the Spiders.
Flyers vs Spiders Trends
- Through their last ten road contests, the Flyers offense has averaged 65 points per game while allowing an average of 63. Dayton posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 6-3-1 ATS.
- Richmond has played well in their previous three home games, going 3-0 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 63 points per game while allowing 60. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-0.
- Through their last five games as the underdog, the Spiders have an ATS record of 5-0 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
- The Flyers have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
Flyers vs Spiders Prediction
The Spiders come in as the underdog at +2.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 135.5 and our model has the Flyers and Spiders finishing with a combined 142 points. Our pick is to take the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:January 27, 2024 Dayton Flyers, Richmond Spiders