Dayton Flyers vs Saint Joseph's Hawks NCAAB Betting Prediction

Dayton Flyers vs Saint Joseph’s Hawks Prediction 2/6/2024

The Dayton Flyers (18-3) travel to face off against the Saint Joseph’s Hawks (15-7) on Tuesday, February 6th. This game will be played at Hagan Arena in Philadelphia and televised on CBSS. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Dayton Flyers vs Saint Joseph’s Hawks

The Dayton Flyers Are Coming Off A Win

Dayton has been strong on the road this season, going 5-3 compared to their 13-0 mark at home. Overall, the Flyers are 18-3, and they have won two straight games.

Coming into this game, Dayton has been favored 17 times and has a 16-1 record in those games. Their average scoring margin on the road is +2.0, and they have gone 4-1 in their last five road games.

Against the spread, Dayton has gone 11-9-1 this season. On the road, the Flyers are 5-2-1 vs. the spread. As the favorite, Dayton has a 9-8 record vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Dayton’s games this season (136.9). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total is 141 points.

The Saint Joseph’s Hawks Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, Saint Joseph’s is 11-2, and they have won their last three games at home. Overall, the Hawks are 15-7, and they have won two games in a row.

This year, Saint Joseph’s has been the underdog five times, going 2-3 in those games. They have been the underdog in just five of their 22 games.

As the underdog this season, Saint Joseph’s has gone 3-2 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hawks have a strong ATS mark of 7-3. At home this year, their ATS record is 8-5, but they have gone just 1-2 vs. the spread in their last three home games.

Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Saint Joseph’s games this season (146.3). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 160 points, and their over/under record in their last 10 games is 8-2.

Dayton Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Flyers’ offense concluded with 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 74.1 points per contest. The team’s top scorer is DaRon Holmes II, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 20, while Nate Santos also carries a PPG average of 11.2 into the game.

DaRon Holmes II (F) 20.0 7.8 2.6
Nate Santos (F) 11.2 6.7 1.6
Koby Brea (G) 10.8 3.8 1.1

Saint Joseph’s Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Saint Joseph’s offense ended with 88 points against La Salle. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 47.3% and made 10 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Erik Reynolds II with 21 points. Rasheer Fleming also added 17 points for the Hawks.

Erik Reynolds II (G) 17.9 2.8 2.6
Lynn Greer III (G) 11.6 5.3 4.0
Xzayvier Brown (G) 11.3 3.5 3.1

Dayton Team Defense

So far, the Flyers’ defense is ranked 25th in the country at 64.3 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.0 threes per game vs. Saint Joseph’s. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.5%.

Saint Joseph’s Team Defense

At this time, the Hawks’ defense is positioned 117th in the country, permitting 70.0 points per game. So far, the Saint Joseph’s defense is giving up an average of 9.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11 times per game (489th).

Flyers vs Hawks Trends

  • Dayton has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 4-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 67 points per game while allowing 61. The team also performed well vs the spread at 4-1.
  • In their last three home games, Saint Joseph’s has averaged 79 points per game while allowing 83. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • The last ten games that Saint Joseph’s was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 5-5 straight up.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Flyers have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.

Flyers vs Hawks Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +2, we have the Hawks as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 144.5, and our model predicts the Flyers and Hawks to score a combined 143 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.