The Dayton Flyers (22-6) travel to face off against the Saint Louis Billikens (11-18) on Tuesday, March 5th. This game will be played at Chaifetz Arena in St. Louis and televised on CBSS. Saint Louis is coming off a win in their previous game, while Dayton is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Loyola Chicago. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.
Dayton Flyers vs Saint Louis Billikens
The Dayton Flyers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Dayton comes into this game as the favorite, as they have been in 24 of their 28 games this season. They have gone 20-4 in those games, while they are 2-2 as the underdog. On the road, the Flyers have gone 6-6 this season, compared to 16-0 at home.
Over their last 10 games on the road, Dayton has gone 5-5, and they are coming off a loss to Loyola Chicago. On the season, they have gone 22-6, including a 12-4 mark in Atlantic 10 play.
As the favorite this season, Dayton has gone 12-12 vs. the spread. On the road, the Flyers are 6-5-1 vs. the spread this year and have gone just 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Dayton has gone 4-6 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for Dayton games is 16-11-1. The average scoring total in their games this year is 138.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 153 is higher than the average OU line in their games this season (136.7). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total is 144 points.
The Saint Louis Billikens Are Coming Off A Win
Despite being the underdog, Saint Louis has a winning record when they are not favored, going 5-15 this season. They are coming off a 94-91 win over Rhode Island and have gone 4-6 in their last ten games at home.
For the year, the Billikens have gone 7-9 at home and have an average scoring margin of -4.3 points per game. Their record in Atlantic 10 play is 4-12, and they are 11-18 overall.
As the underdog this season, Saint Louis has gone 9-11 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Billikens have gone 4-6 ATS. At home this year, Saint Louis has gone just 5-11 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 home games, the Billikens have gone 3-7 ATS. In their last 3 home games, Saint Louis is 0-3 ATS.
On the season, the over/under record for Saint Louis games sits at 16-11-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 153.7 points. Today’s over/under line of 153 is very close to that average. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 171 points, and their over/under record in those games is 2-1.
Dayton Offense Breakdown
In their recent matchup, the Dayton offense ended with 72 points against Loyola Chicago. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 52.2% and made 7 threes. The Dayton offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.3 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 39% of their looks from outside this season.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| DaRon Holmes II (F) | 20.0 | 8.0 | 2.5 |
| Nate Santos (F) | 11.9 | 6.4 | 1.5 |
| Koby Brea (G) | 10.4 | 3.8 | 1.1 |
Saint Louis Offense Breakdown
The Saint Louis offense is coming off a game in which they scored 94 points vs. Rhode Island. Overall their field goal percentage was 54.1% while connecting on 11 threes. The top scorer for the Billikens was Gibson Jimerson with 30 points, while Larry Hughes Jr. also added 17 to the scoreboard.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gibson Jimerson (G) | 15.0 | 2.9 | 1.9 |
| Terrence Hargrove Jr. (F) | 12.7 | 5.4 | 0.8 |
| Sincere Parker (G) | 15.9 | 4.2 | 0.9 |
Dayton Team Defense
So far this season, the Dayton defense has been performing well, ranking 22nd in the country at 65.0 points allowed per contest. The Dayton defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 77 points and allowed Loyola Chicago to connect on 11 threes.
Saint Louis Team Defense
Facing Dayton, Saint Louis aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 79.3 points allowed per game (317th). The Saint Louis defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 91 points and allowed Rhode Island to connect on 11 threes.
Flyers vs Billikens Trends
- In their last three games away from home, the Flyers have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 62 points per game in these contests.
- Across their last three home contests, Saint Louis has a 2-1 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-2, while averaging 82 points per game.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Billikens have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Flyers have a straight up record of 3-2, while going 2-3 against the spread.
Flyers vs Billikens Prediction
Coming in as the underdogs at +10.5, we have the Billikens as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 153 and given that our model is projecting 142 points between the teams, we like the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 5, 2024 Dayton Flyers, Saint Louis Billikens