Duke Blue Devils vs Miami (FL) NCAAB Betting Prediction

Duke Blue Devils vs Miami (FL) Prediction 2/21/2024

The Duke Blue Devils (20-5) travel to face off against the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (15-11) on Wednesday, February 21st. This game will be played at Watsco Center in Coral Gables and televised on ESPN. Duke is coming off a win in their previous game, while Miami (FL) is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Boston College. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Duke Blue Devils vs Miami (FL) Hurricanes

The Duke Blue Devils Are Coming Off A Win

After a 76-67 victory over Florida State, Duke is riding a four-game win streak, and they are 20-5 overall, including a 10-3 record in ACC play. The Blue Devils have gone 5-3 on the road this season, and they are 6-4 in their last 10 road games.

So far, Duke has been the favorite in 23 of their 25 games, going 19-4 in those contests. On the road this season, they have outscored opponents by an average of 4.0 points per game, while they have a +16.4 average scoring margin at home.

As the favorite this season, Duke has gone 13-10 against the spread. On the road, their ATS record is 3-5 and their last 10 road ATS mark is 3-6. However, in their last 3 games as the favorite, the Blue Devils are 3-0 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Duke games is 11-12-1. The average scoring total in their games is 148.8 points, which is nearly two points higher than the average over/under line in their games of 146.8. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points and their OU record during that span is 0-3.

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After losing their fourth straight game, Miami (FL) will look to get back on track against Duke. The Hurricanes have a 15-11 overall record, including a 13-3 mark at home. On the other hand, they are just 2-8 on the road this season.

Miami (FL) is 2-8 as an underdog this season, and they come into this game as 5.5-point underdogs. In their last game, the Hurricanes fell to Boston College by a score of 85-77.

As the underdog, Miami has gone 4-5-1 against the spread this season and they are 10-5-1 ATS at home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hurricanes have a 4-5-1 ATS mark.

Miami’s over/under record this season is 12-14 and today’s line of 150 is lower than the average OU line in its games (153.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 148 points and their OU record during this span is 1-2. On the year, 11 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

Duke Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Duke offense tallied 76 points in a matchup against Florida State. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.4%, and they made 10 threes. Offensively, the Blue Devils hold a season-long field goal percentage of 48%, placing them 53rd in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 48th in terms of percentage and 120th in three-pointers made.

Kyle Filipowski (C) 17.0 8.3 2.7
Jared McCain (G) 13.8 4.9 1.8
Jeremy Roach (G) 14.0 2.4 3.1

Miami (FL) Offense Breakdown

The Miami (FL) offense is coming off a game where they scored 77 points against Boston College. They posted a field goal percentage of 52.9% and connected on 13 threes. Norchad Omier was the leading scorer for the Hurricanes, putting up 20 points. In addition, Matthew Cleveland contributed 20 points.

Norchad Omier (F) 17.8 9.8 1.2
Matthew Cleveland (G) 14.0 5.8 1.8
Wooga Poplar (G) 13.7 4.9 2.2

Duke Team Defense

So far, the Blue Devils’ defense is ranked 73rd in the country at 67.6 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Florida State, the Seminoles finished with a field goal percentage of 49% and a total of 67 points vs. Duke.

Miami (FL) Team Defense

At present, the Hurricanes’ defense is nationally ranked 184th, allowing 72.5 points per game. Miami (FL)’s three-point defense is currently 239th in the country at 9.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.0% of their shots vs. Miami (FL).

Blue Devils vs Hurricanes Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Blue Devils have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 3-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 73 points per game in this stretch.
  • Through their last five home games, Miami (FL) has an ATS record of just 1-4. However, their overall record was 1-4 while averaging 63 points per game.
  • The last three games that Miami (FL) was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Duke has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

Blue Devils vs Hurricanes Prediction

The Hurricanes come in as the underdog at +5.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 150 and our model has the Blue Devils and Hurricanes finishing with a combined 142 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.