Duke Blue Devils vs Wake Forest Demon NCAAB Betting Prediction

Duke Blue Devils vs Wake Forest Demon Prediction 2/24/2024

The Duke Blue Devils (21-5) travel to face off against the Wake Forest Demon Deacons (17-9) on Saturday, February 24th. This game will be played at Lawrence Joel Coliseum in Winston-Salem and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.

Duke Blue Devils vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons

The Duke Blue Devils Are Coming Off A Win

After winning their last five games, Duke is 21-5 overall and 11-3 in the Atlantic Coast Conference. On the road, the Blue Devils have gone 6-3, and they have a scoring margin of +6.8 points per game. Their last game was a 29-point victory over Miami (FL), and they are 4-1 in their last five road games.

So far this season, Duke has been the favorite in 24 of their 26 games, going 20-4 in those contests. As the underdog, they are 1-0. Their average scoring margin at home is +16.4, and they are 14-2 at Cameron Indoor Stadium.

As the underdog this season, Duke has a 0-1 record vs. the spread. On the road, the Blue Devils are 4-5 ATS this year and 14-11 overall. In their last 10 games as the underdog, Duke is just 3-7 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Duke games is 11-13-1, and today’s line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (146.9). This year, 16 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points, and their OU record over their last 10 games is 3-7.

The Wake Forest Demon Deacons Are Coming Off A Win

Wake Forest is coming into this game as the favorite, which is no surprise considering their 16-2 record as the favorite this season. They are also 15-2 at home this season, and they have won their last 13 games at home.

On the other hand, the Demon Deacons have struggled on the road, going just 2-7 this season. They have lost their last two road games, and their average scoring margin on the road is -1.8 compared to +16.4 at home.

As the favorite, Wake Forest has gone 12-5-1 against the spread this season. Their home ATS record is 11-5-1, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are 7-2-1 vs. the spread.

Wake Forest’s over/under record this season is 15-11 and the average scoring total in their games is 148.8 points. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (147.3). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 130 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 6-4.

Duke Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Duke offense ended with 84 points against Miami (FL). They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 51.9% and made 13 threes. Offensively, the Blue Devils have a season long field goal percentage of 48%, which is 52nd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 43rd in percentage and 98th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Kyle Filipowski (C) 16.9 8.2 2.7
Jeremy Roach (G) 14.1 2.4 3.1
Jared McCain (G) 13.5 4.9 1.8

Wake Forest Offense Breakdown

Wake Forest’s offense had a good outing, putting up 91 points against Pittsburgh. They achieved a 60.8% field goal percentage and went 19/20 from the free-throw line. Offensively, the Demon Deacons have a season long field goal percentage of 47%, which is 62nd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 50th in percentage and 95th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Hunter Sallis (G) 18.3 4.0 2.5
Kevin Miller (G) 15.5 2.8 3.7
Cameron Hildreth (G) 13.5 4.8 2.7

Duke Team Defense

This season, the Duke defense has been impressive, holding the 59th position in the country while permitting an average of 67.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Duke’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 42.8% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 32.0% this season.

Wake Forest Team Defense

So far, the Demon Deacons’ defense is ranked 107th in the country at 69.3 points per contest. So far, the Wake Forest defense is giving up an average of 8.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.4 times per game (445th).

Blue Devils vs Demon Deacons Trends

  • Across the Blue Devils last ten road games, the team averaged 76 points per game while allowing 68. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-5, while going 7-3 straight-up.
  • Through their last ten home games, Wake Forest has an ATS record of just 4-6. However, their overall record was 2-8 while averaging 72 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Duke has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • The Demon Deacons have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.

Blue Devils vs Demon Deacons Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Demon Deacons to win, and have the projected score sitting at 75-68. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Demon Deacons at -2.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 151.5, and our model predicts the Blue Devils and Demon Deacons to score a combined 143 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.