Duquesne Dukes vs Dayton Flyers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Duquesne Dukes vs Dayton Flyers Prediction 2/13/2024

The Duquesne Dukes (14-9) travel to face off against the Dayton Flyers (19-4) on Tuesday, February 13th. This game will be played at UD Arena in Dayton and televised on ESPN+. Duquesne is coming off a win in their previous game, while Dayton is looking to get back on track from a loss to the VCU. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Duquesne Dukes vs Dayton Flyers

The Duquesne Dukes Are Coming Off A Win

Despite being the underdog, Duquesne has been the favorite in 16 of its 23 games this season, going 11-5 in those games. The Dukes are 2-4 when they are the underdog.

On the road this season, Duquesne is 3-5, and the Dukes have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games away from home.

As the underdog, Duquesne has gone 3-3 vs. the spread this season. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Dukes have an ATS mark of 5-5. On the road, Duquesne’s ATS record is 4-4 this year and they are 5-5 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 136 for the Duquesne game is lower than the average OU line in their games this season (144.3). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 143 points.

The Dayton Flyers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Dayton will look to bounce back from a two-point loss to VCU when they host Duquesne on Tuesday. The Flyers have been dominant at home this season, going 13-0 with an average scoring margin of +14.6 points per game.

Overall, Dayton is 19-4, including a 9-2 mark in Atlantic 10 play. They have been favored in 19 of their 23 games, going 17-2 in those contests.

At home this season, Dayton has an ATS record of 6-7, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Flyers are 5-5 vs. the spread. Overall, Dayton has gone 12-10-1 ATS this year. In their last three home games, the Flyers have an ATS mark of 2-1.

Today’s over/under line of 136 is lower than the average over/under line in Dayton’s games this year (137). Currently, their over/under record is 12-11. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 138 points compared to their season average of 138 points.

Duquesne Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Duquesne offense put up 75 points against St. Bonaventure. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 45.8% and made 6 threes. In terms of offense, the Dukes have a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, putting them 313rd in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 307th in percentage and 155th in three-pointers made.

Dae Dae Grant (G) 17.3 3.7 2.2
Jimmy Clark III (G) 14.9 3.3 3.7
Fousseyni Drame (F) 7.8 5.9 1.1

Dayton Offense Breakdown

Against VCU, the Dayton had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 73.8 points per game. They scored 47 points and posted a field goal percentage of 36.2% in the game. For the season, the Dayton offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 47%. So far, they have hit 53% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 9.3 made three’s per contest.

DaRon Holmes II (F) 19.4 7.7 2.5
Nate Santos (F) 12.0 6.6 1.5
Koby Brea (G) 10.5 3.9 1.1

Duquesne Team Defense

The Dukes’ defense is presently ranked 71st nationally, allowing an average of 67.7 points per contest. Duquesne’s three-point defense is currently 62nd in the country at 6.0 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.2% of their shots vs. Duquesne.

Dayton Team Defense

So far, the Flyers’ defense is ranked 21st in the country at 64.3 points per contest. Against VCU in their most recent game, the Dayton defense gave up a total of 49 points while allowing VCU to hit 37% of their shots.

Dukes vs Flyers Trends

  • In their last three road games, Duquesne has averaged 76 points per game while allowing 70. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Flyers offense has averaged 68 points per game while allowing an average of 65. Dayton posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Dukes have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 5-5.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Flyers have a straight up record of 3-2, while going 2-3 against the spread.

Dukes vs Flyers Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Flyers vs. Flyers game, we suggest taking the Flyers at -10.5. Even though our predictions have the Flyers winning 75-69, we see the Dukes as the better choice on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 136, and our model predicts the Dukes and Flyers to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.