Arsenal vs Manchester City EPL Betting prediction

EPL Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction 3/31/2024

Arsenal (20-4-4) travel to face off against Manchester City (19-3-6) on Sunday, March 31st. This match will be played at Etihad Stadium in Manchester. Arsenal is coming off a win in their previous match, while Manchester City played to a draw vs. Arsenal. The match is scheduled for 11:30 AM ET.

Arsenal vs Manchester City

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Arsenal Is Coming Off A Win

Arsenal hosted Brentford FC in their last match, picking up a 2-1 win. The Gunners were heavy favorites coming in, with a money line payout of -560. The three combined goals fell short of the over/under goal line of 3.5 goals.

Kai Havertz and Declan Rice were the two players to score for Arsenal, with Havertz taking four total shots and two shots on goal. Overall, Arsenal had six shots on goal and 17 total shots. They also finished the match with 10 corner kicks.

On the defensive end, Arsenal allowed just one goal on Brentford’s four total shots on goal. Aaron Ramsdale had three saves on the day, and the club blocked five shots while intercepting one pass.

As we head into this match, Arsenal sits atop the EPL standings, tied with Liverpool at 64 points. They have won eight straight matches and have a record of 20-4-4. Overall, they have been favored in 26 of their 28 matches, going 19-4-3 in those contests. They have been dominant at home, going 11-1-2, and have a road record of 9-3-2. Following this match, they will be back at home on April 3rd against Luton Town FC. Over their last seven matches, they have gone a perfect 7-0.

Manchester City Is Coming Off A Draw

Manchester City will be looking to get back on the winning track after picking up a draw vs. Liverpool. They played this last match on the road, but they were still the slight favorite at +105. The two combined goals fell short of the over/under goal line of 3.5 goals.

John Stones provided the only goal for Manchester City, and he was also one of six total shots on goal for the club. Stones took just one shot overall, and he scored despite the club finishing with just four corner kicks.

On the defensive end, Manchester City intercepted nine passes and finished with two blocked shots. Ederson made just one save on Liverpool’s seven corner kicks and finished with a total of six saves.

In the EPL standings, Manchester City is currently in 3rd place, just one point behind Arsenal. Overall, they have a record of 19-3-6, and they have been favored in all 28 of their matches. At home, they have yet to lose, going 10-0-4. Over their last seven matches, they have gone 5-0-2, with their only two non-wins coming against the 2nd-ranked Liverpool FC and 11th-ranked Chelsea FC. Following this match vs. Arsenal, they will be back at home on April 3rd vs. Aston Villa FC.

Arsenal Offense Breakdown

So far this season, Arsenal has been the most prolific offense in the EPL, averaging 2.4 goals per match. They have also been one of the most accurate passing teams in the league, completing 87.5% of their passes. They have been especially effective on corner kicks, as they have had more corners than their opponents in 82.1% of their matches. Bukayo Saka has been their top scorer this season, finding the back of the net 13 times. He has also been their most accurate shooter, as he has put 28 shots on goal, which is 11th in the EPL.

Manchester City Offense Breakdown

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Manchester City has been one of the most potent offensive teams in the EPL this season, ranking second in goals per match at 2.2. They have also been the most accurate passing team in the league, completing 90.1% of their passes. Erling Haaland has been the top scorer in the EPL this season with 18 goals, and he also leads the league in shots on goal. Phil Foden has been the top playmaker for Manchester City, ranking ninth in the EPL in goals and assists. He has seven assists this season, which is ninth in the EPL.

Arsenal Defense Breakdown

Heading into their match against Manchester City, the Arsenal defense is the best in the EPL, allowing just 0.9 goals per match. They are also third in blocked shots and 16th in interceptions. Keeper David Raya leads the EPL with nine clean sheets, and over his last four starts, he has given up just two goals. However, it is worth noting that three of those four matches came against teams ranked 14th or worse in scoring offense.

Manchester City Defense Breakdown

Manchester City’s defense will be tested by the EPL’s top-scoring offense, as they face Arsenal, who has scored the most goals in the league. Overall, Manchester City’s defense is 3rd in the EPL, allowing 1.0 goals per match. They are also 1st in blocked shots per match. Goalkeeper Ederson is 2nd in the EPL with eight clean sheets. Over their last four matches, they have allowed just two goals, and they have not allowed a goal in two of their last four matches.

Arsenal vs Manchester City Prediction

Even though Manchester City comes in as the better offensive team, our projections have this one ending in a 1-1 draw, which is listed at +278. Manchester City is not only the top shooting team in the EPL but they are also 2nd in goals scored. However, they are taking on an Arsenal club that leads the league in fewest goals allowed. Our projections are giving Erling Haaland the best chance to score a goal for Manchester City, while Leandro Trossard has the best odds to score for Arsenal.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.