Chelsea vs Aston Villa EPL Betting Prediction

EPL Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction 4/27/2024

Chelsea (13-11-8) travel to face off against Aston Villa (20-8-6) on Saturday, April 27th. This match will be played at Villa Park in Birmingham. Aston Villa is coming off a win in their previous match, while Chelsea will be looking to get back on track from a loss to the Aston Villa. The match is scheduled for 3:00 PM ET.

Chelsea vs Aston Villa

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Chelsea Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Chelsea will be looking to put their last match behind them, as they lost to Arsenal by a score of 5-0. This match took place on Arsenal’s home pitch, and Chelsea went into the match as the heavy underdog at +737.

The five goals scored in this matchup surpassed the pre-match over/under line of 3.5 goals. The offensive attack for Chelsea was rather limited, as they took just one shot on goal as a part of their seven total shots.

Đorđe Petrović had a tough time in net, coming up with just six saves on Arsenal’s 10 shots on goal. The Chelsea defense blocked two shots but intercepted seven passes. Nicolas Jackson led the offensive attack for Chelsea, taking two total shots.

Heading into this match, Chelsea sits in 9th place in the EPL, just one point behind West Ham United. Over their last four matches, they have gone 2-1-1, with their only loss coming to the top-ranked Arsenal. On the road this season, Chelsea has struggled, going just 5-7-4. Following this match, they will return home to take on Tottenham Hotspur on May 2nd.

Aston Villa Is Coming Off A Win

In their last match, Aston Villa hosted AFC Bournemouth and picked up a 3-1 win. The money line payout for Aston Villa was -122, and the four combined goals surpassed the over/under line of 3.5 goals.

Aston Villa’s offensive attack took a total of 14 shots and four shots on goal. Four of their eight corner kicks came in the second half. Moussa Diaby and Morgan Rogers were two of the four players to score, with Diaby and Rogers notching one goal on their three combined shots.

Leon Bailey also found the net for Aston Villa, and Ollie Watkins finished the match with two assists. Overall, the club had three assists, with Bailey’s goal being the only one not to have an assist.

As the EPL season winds down, Aston Villa finds themselves in 4th place, looking to hold off Tottenham Hotspur. They have won two straight matches, including a 3-1 victory over AFC Bournemouth on April 21st. Overall, Aston Villa has a record of 20-8-6, and they have been favored in 24 of their 34 matches. At home, they have been especially tough, going 12-3-2. After this match vs. Chelsea, they will head on the road to take on Brighton & Hove Albion FC on May 5th.

Chelsea Offense Breakdown

Chelsea’s attack has been led by Cole Palmer, who is 2nd in the EPL with 20 goals. He has also been 5th in the league in shots on goal, and he leads the team in that category as well. Overall, Chelsea is 6th in the EPL in goals scored, and they are 6th in shots on goal. They have been able to generate 5.2 corners per match, which is 11th in the league. They have had fewer corners than their opponents in 46.9% of their matches. Their passing percentage of 85.3 is 7th in the EPL.

Aston Villa Offense Breakdown

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Aston Villa’s offense has been one of the most efficient in the EPL this season, as they are 5th in the league in goals scored at 2.0 per match. They are also 8th in shots on goal per match, and have taken fewer shots on goal than their season average in seven straight matches. They are 4th in the league in corners, and have had more corners than their opponents in 73.5% of their matches. Ollie Watkins is their top scorer, as he is 3rd in the league in goals scored and shots on goal.

Chelsea Defense Breakdown

Chelsea’s defense has been up and down as of late, giving up five goals to Arsenal, but also shutting out Everton. Overall, they are 15th in the EPL in goals allowed, giving up 1.8 per match. Keeper Robert Sánchez is 17th in the league with three clean sheets and 17th in saves. Overall, Chelsea is 11th in blocked shots and 13th in interceptions. They are also 16th in fouls committed. Over their last seven matches, they have given up 16 goals, or 2.3 per match.

Aston Villa Defense Breakdown

As the season winds down, Aston Villa’s defense has been up and down. Over their last six matches, they have given up three or more goals twice, but they have also posted two clean sheets. Overall, they are 5th in the EPL in goals allowed per match (1.5). Keeper Emiliano Martínez is 5th in the EPL in clean sheets (8), and he is 12th in saves (89). They will be facing a Chelsea offense that is 6th in the league in goals scored. Over their last six matches, they have given up an average of 1.5 goals per match.

Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction

Given the way these two clubs have been able to generate shots on goal this season, we see this EPL matchup between Chelsea and Aston Villa ending in a 2-2 draw. Coming into the match, Aston Villa is 8th in the EPL in shots on goal and is also 3rd in shooting percentage. Our projections have Ollie Watkins as the top goal scorer for Aston Villa. On the other side, Raheem Sterling has been given the best odds to score for Chelsea.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.